Stop voting for fucking Tories

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tabascoboy
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Latest odds for North Shropshire suggesting the Tories have opened around a 10% lead as LD support has dropped in the last couple of days. Everything normal and we just carry on like this then...
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Hal Jordan
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sturginho wrote: Thu Dec 16, 2021 12:36 pm
Margin__Walker wrote: Thu Dec 16, 2021 12:28 pm Thick as mince
That's very unfair to the mince
Also, mince has a useful purpose.
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Raggs
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So apparently the UK covid infection numbers released, doesn't include people who have been reinfected...
Give a man a fire and he'll be warm for a day. Set a man on fire and he'll be warm for the rest of his life.
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Margin__Walker
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Raggs wrote: Thu Dec 16, 2021 1:33 pm So apparently the UK covid infection numbers released, doesn't include people who have been reinfected...
Link? That would be surprising.

I thought they were just going to release a separate figure shortly that isolated reinfections. May have got the wrong end of the stick though.
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Raggs
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Margin__Walker wrote: Thu Dec 16, 2021 1:36 pm
Raggs wrote: Thu Dec 16, 2021 1:33 pm So apparently the UK covid infection numbers released, doesn't include people who have been reinfected...
Link? That would be surprising.

I thought they were just going to release a separate figure shortly that isolated reinfections. May have got the wrong end of the stick though.


Some of the replies... people seem to genuinely believe you cannot catch it a second time. As though after the first time an invisible fence comes down around you and zaps the particles before you inhale them.
Give a man a fire and he'll be warm for a day. Set a man on fire and he'll be warm for the rest of his life.
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JM2K6
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Blame almost 2 years of messaging from vested interests that natural immunity is the strongest one and the solution to all our problems.
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Margin__Walker
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That's a pretty odd way to count infection rates then. To the layman anyway.
petej
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Raggs wrote: Thu Dec 16, 2021 1:40 pm
Margin__Walker wrote: Thu Dec 16, 2021 1:36 pm
Raggs wrote: Thu Dec 16, 2021 1:33 pm So apparently the UK covid infection numbers released, doesn't include people who have been reinfected...
Link? That would be surprising.

I thought they were just going to release a separate figure shortly that isolated reinfections. May have got the wrong end of the stick though.


Some of the replies... people seem to genuinely believe you cannot catch it a second time. As though after the first time an invisible fence comes down around you and zaps the particles before you inhale them.
This does appear to be correct apart from for Wales where if you are positive over six weeks after the original positive it will count you again.
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/metrics ... ecimenDate
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sturginho
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Hal Jordan wrote: Thu Dec 16, 2021 1:27 pm
sturginho wrote: Thu Dec 16, 2021 12:36 pm
Margin__Walker wrote: Thu Dec 16, 2021 12:28 pm Thick as mince
That's very unfair to the mince
Also, mince has a useful purpose.


Unelected heads of state are great, unelected chief medical officers are evil!
Big D
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tabascoboy wrote: Thu Dec 16, 2021 1:14 pm Latest odds for North Shropshire suggesting the Tories have opened around a 10% lead as LD support has dropped in the last couple of days. Everything normal and we just carry on like this then...
The majority in the UK and presumably most places don't actually vote based on actual performance.

That and the Labour have rarely been appealing to the general electorate. Only 3 Labour PMs have won an outright majority ever.

With views being deeper entrenched on either side in a country that is broadly more Conservative then it isn't a surprise really.
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SaintK
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tabascoboy wrote: Thu Dec 16, 2021 1:14 pm Latest odds for North Shropshire suggesting the Tories have opened around a 10% lead as LD support has dropped in the last couple of days. Everything normal and we just carry on like this then...
A Tory win with a reduced majority always on the cards.
Tory voters will vote with their feet rather than vote for anyone else
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SaintK
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.........and another one!!!
Boris Johnson joined No 10 staff for a party in Downing Street during the first lockdown in May last year, sources have alleged, raising questions about whether there was a culture of flouting the rules over a number of months.

The prime minister spent about 15 minutes with staff at the alleged social gathering on 15 May 2020, telling one aide inside No 10 that they deserved a drink for “beating back” coronavirus, a joint investigation by the Guardian and Independent was told.

Sources claimed about 20 staff drank wine and spirits and ate pizza following a press conference on that day, some in offices inside No 10 and others going into the garden. Some staff stayed drinking until late into the evening, they alleged.

Rules at the time allowed only two people from different households to meet outside, at a distance of 2 metres. Earlier that evening, Matt Hancock, then health secretary, had urged people to “stay at home as much as is possible” and asked them to “please stick with the rules, keep an eye on your family and don’t take risks” during the period of good weather.
dpedin
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Dogbert wrote: Thu Dec 16, 2021 11:06 am
dpedin wrote: Thu Dec 16, 2021 10:40 am So the omicron tsunami has started and at the moment it feels like we are all just standing on the beach watching the wave get bigger. 78,600 cases in UK yesterday is a pretty scary number and from what Whitty was saying yesterday it is going to get a lot, lot worse. Scientists are still working on it but reckon it is anything between 2 to 4 times more infectious than delta. Still no definitive data on how deadly it is and scientists seem split on whether it is likely to cause same or less rate of hospitalisations or deaths. It also seems to have the ability to reinfect, particularly those depending on a previous case of covid for their immunity. However evidence is there to suggest it can evade our current vaccinations although the booster does seem to make a big difference. It would appear that vaccination reduces chances of hospitalisation and death.

Bottom line is, despite the heroic efforts of NHS, the booster programme is behind the curve and many will likely get covid before their booster or before it is fully effective. We also still have c6m eligible but unvaccinated and c9.5m who are ineligible for the vaccine, mostly kids. This 15m is a huge pool for omicron to circulate in and from there infect others. Our best chance would be to try and slow down omicron as much as possible - masks, WFH, social distancing, reducing crowded large scale events, reduce household mixing, better ventilations, etc - whilst we get as many vaccinations and boosters done as possible. We are literally talking weeks to make a huge difference and save many folk from dying or contracting long covid.We should also be vaccinating kids from 5+ and really driving home the education and delivery of vaccines into the hard to reach groups of folk still to be vaccinated.

The Blonde Bumblecunt is now as much use as a chocolate fireguard. He can't impose greater PH protections because his ERG mates will not vote for him and he will have to rely on Starmer propping him up which he will find a political anathema. He can't do nothing because the scientists are telling him he has to given the PH risks the country is facing, if he does nothing he will be held accountable for the many subsequent deaths. His hands are also tied by the Treasury who are loath to spend more to prop up the leisure industry as they want to save money for the promised tax cuts in the run up to the next election plus covering up Brexit damage in January plus Sunak is playing hardball and they have already spaffed loads of dosh on failed TT&T and got their fingers burned on the ridiculous 'Eat Out ...' fiasco last summer. Throw in a by-election, partygate, forthcoming Brexit fiasco at the borders on the 1st January and he is well and truly fucked! He is paralysed by fear and will not provide the leadership we require.

The impact of omicron is already baked in, modelling suggests it will peak in mid January, and there is not much we can do to avoid it - the NHS will struggle to cope over the next 6-8 weeks and expect to see horror stories of folk not getting care they urgently require and dying due to lack of staff. if we thought the last pingdemic was bad and decimated the NHS workforce then we ain't seen nothing yet. We already have 10% vacancies in nursing in NHS, add in another 5% regular absence and it is already struggling - if we lose another 10-20% due to omicron (infections, isolating, caring for kids/elderly parents) then that means the NHS will have to cope with just 65-75% of its nursing workforce available ... impossible.

Best thing to do guys is take every PH precaution you can and don't get injured or ill ... oh and Merry Christmas!
FFS - Dpedin , you can't use words like Tsunami - your going to panic the country

Can I suggest 'Mild ripple' or 'Gentle Increase'
I will take your feedback on board! Looks I was over pessimistic, cases are only 88,376 today. Perhaps we have peaked?

Read that we are close to reaching out testing capacity in the UK and as a result will not be able to report on the actual number of cases in the UK. The Blonde Bumblecunt will be breathing a sigh of relief as case numbers plateau!
petej
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London has pretty much met it's peak daily cases numbers from the alpha/kent wave.
Biffer
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petej wrote: Thu Dec 16, 2021 5:07 pm London has pretty much met it's peak daily cases numbers from the alpha/kent wave.
London vaccine uptake is shite. 1 in 3 people eligible for a vaccine haven’t had a jag. That’s not a booster, that’s the first one. Add in the under 12s who aren’t eligible and it’ll be over 40% unvaccinated.

23,000 cases in London today.
And are there two g’s in Bugger Off?
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Tory journalists tweeting out fears they've lost Shropshire. 4 hours until the polls closed so a pretty good method to get people to the polling station.
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JM2K6
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I like neeps wrote: Thu Dec 16, 2021 7:00 pm Tory journalists tweeting out fears they've lost Shropshire. 4 hours until the polls closed so a pretty good method to get people to the polling station.
Isn't there a law about that
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fishfoodie
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JM2K6 wrote: Thu Dec 16, 2021 7:11 pm
I like neeps wrote: Thu Dec 16, 2021 7:00 pm Tory journalists tweeting out fears they've lost Shropshire. 4 hours until the polls closed so a pretty good method to get people to the polling station.
Isn't there a law about that
Nah. No law against being either a Tory; or a Journalist; but God willing .... :wink:
GogLais
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I like neeps wrote: Thu Dec 16, 2021 7:00 pm Tory journalists tweeting out fears they've lost Shropshire. 4 hours until the polls closed so a pretty good method to get people to the polling station.
Are they familiar with Twitter in Shropshire?
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Lobby
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JM2K6 wrote: Thu Dec 16, 2021 7:11 pm
I like neeps wrote: Thu Dec 16, 2021 7:00 pm Tory journalists tweeting out fears they've lost Shropshire. 4 hours until the polls closed so a pretty good method to get people to the polling station.
Isn't there a law about that
It depends what they’ve said, and what information they are using as the basis for their comments.

Broadcast media are prohibited from reporting on any campaign activity while polls are still open, and it is forbidden for anyone to publish an exit poll or anything resembling one until voting closes.

However, candidates and parties can still campaign, and comments like ‘it’s lookin bad’ are probably OK, as long as you don’t speculate on numbers voting, or quote figures based on polling.
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Biffer wrote: Thu Dec 16, 2021 5:15 pm
petej wrote: Thu Dec 16, 2021 5:07 pm London has pretty much met it's peak daily cases numbers from the alpha/kent wave.
London vaccine uptake is shite. 1 in 3 people eligible for a vaccine haven’t had a jag. That’s not a booster, that’s the first one. Add in the under 12s who aren’t eligible and it’ll be over 40% unvaccinated.

23,000 cases in London today.
Evidence from SA suggests antibodies from previous covid strains reduces the severity of Omicron. How many of those 33% of people have had a previous strain is pretty important.
Happyhooker
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Harry Cole might be in a bit of trouble there
Biffer
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I like neeps wrote: Thu Dec 16, 2021 8:51 pm
Biffer wrote: Thu Dec 16, 2021 5:15 pm
petej wrote: Thu Dec 16, 2021 5:07 pm London has pretty much met it's peak daily cases numbers from the alpha/kent wave.
London vaccine uptake is shite. 1 in 3 people eligible for a vaccine haven’t had a jag. That’s not a booster, that’s the first one. Add in the under 12s who aren’t eligible and it’ll be over 40% unvaccinated.

23,000 cases in London today.
Evidence from SA suggests antibodies from previous covid strains reduces the severity of Omicron. How many of those 33% of people have had a previous strain is pretty important.
Evidence also suggests three shots gives better protection, both against sever disease and transmission. In particular transmission is only reduced by about 10% for previous infection, about 70% reduction for three shots.

Those are lab tests so need a lot more evidence, obviously.
And are there two g’s in Bugger Off?
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Tattie
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Biffer wrote: Thu Dec 16, 2021 10:43 pm
I like neeps wrote: Thu Dec 16, 2021 8:51 pm
Biffer wrote: Thu Dec 16, 2021 5:15 pm

London vaccine uptake is shite. 1 in 3 people eligible for a vaccine haven’t had a jag. That’s not a booster, that’s the first one. Add in the under 12s who aren’t eligible and it’ll be over 40% unvaccinated.

23,000 cases in London today.
Evidence from SA suggests antibodies from previous covid strains reduces the severity of Omicron. How many of those 33% of people have had a previous strain is pretty important.
…sever disease….
Sounds horrific, is that a new variant? 😉
Happyhooker
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Tattie wrote: Thu Dec 16, 2021 11:02 pm
Biffer wrote: Thu Dec 16, 2021 10:43 pm
I like neeps wrote: Thu Dec 16, 2021 8:51 pm

Evidence from SA suggests antibodies from previous covid strains reduces the severity of Omicron. How many of those 33% of people have had a previous strain is pretty important.
…sever disease….
Sounds horrific, is that a new variant? 😉
Yea, it's split away from the last few
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Insane_Homer
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This thread is working! :thumbup:



:shock: :clap:

“Facts are meaningless. You could use facts to prove anything that's even remotely true.”
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Insane_Homer
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I bet they're wishing the cunt had just taken his medicine now. :lol:
“Facts are meaningless. You could use facts to prove anything that's even remotely true.”
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sturginho
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Mental
petej
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Was sure the Tories would scrape a win due to the opposition vote being divided. :lol: very pleased to be wrong.
Last edited by petej on Fri Dec 17, 2021 7:56 am, edited 1 time in total.
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tabascoboy
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Insane_Homer wrote: Fri Dec 17, 2021 6:44 am This thread is working! :thumbup:



:shock: :clap:

:thumbup: low turnout but a stunning defeat
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If Omicron wasn't running wild we'd be seeing a leadership challenge now. Sunak is already running scared of the consequences (good decision to decide a rapid booster program was too expensive mate) and even Truss isn't mental enough to decide now is the time to strike.
dpedin
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Bumblecunt is now a dead man walking. There is no way back for the pile of dog shit on legs.

Tories now know they are heading for defeat if they keep the blonde bucket of lard as their leader but timing is bad for them, they want him to stay in power until at least Easter so they can heap the blame on him for omicron response, or lack of it! The last thing they want is for their new leader to have to pick up the forthcoming disaster of omicron, partygate, PPE corruption, etc over the next few months. They also know there is some shit coming down the road on the 1st January with new border controls and will want the BB and unelected bureaucrat Frost to own it. They will now all gently step back from No10 and let the shit hit the fan and try and clear the decks for Rishi or Truss or whichever dooffus they choose. Labour, whilst pushing on an open door, will also be keen to see him stay in power as he is their biggest asset and they can continue to attack the whole Tory party with him and his Brexit Ultras in power. It is going to be a very interesting 3-4 months.
dpedin
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I like neeps wrote: Fri Dec 17, 2021 8:44 am If Omicron wasn't running wild we'd be seeing a leadership challenge now. Sunak is already running scared of the consequences (good decision to decide a rapid booster program was too expensive mate) and even Truss isn't mental enough to decide now is the time to strike.
Just said exactly the same thing!
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Hal Jordan
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I assume bimbo is spinning this as a massive failure for Labour in not winning the seat?
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Insane_Homer
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Oof!

“Facts are meaningless. You could use facts to prove anything that's even remotely true.”
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PCPhil
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I feel that we should congratulate the title of this thread. It is a clear message and many voters said that this it what tipped it for them.
“It was a pet, not an animal. It had a name, you don't eat things with names, this is horrific!”
Biffer
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PCPhil wrote: Fri Dec 17, 2021 9:13 am I feel that we should congratulate the title of this thread. It is a clear message and many voters said that this it what tipped it for them.
Only problem is, they're doing exactly what the title says - not voting. The tory voters didn't turn out, not many of them changed their vote.
And are there two g’s in Bugger Off?
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Insane_Homer wrote: Fri Dec 17, 2021 9:12 am Oof!

This is a real problem for the Tories. They can't mobilise anyone on brexit because people think it's done.

Labour have a problem too though, unless lib dem eat into the blue wall enough it's hard to see how Labour win a majority.
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Lobby
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Biffer wrote: Fri Dec 17, 2021 9:16 am
PCPhil wrote: Fri Dec 17, 2021 9:13 am I feel that we should congratulate the title of this thread. It is a clear message and many voters said that this it what tipped it for them.
Only problem is, they're doing exactly what the title says - not voting. The tory voters didn't turn out, not many of them changed their vote.
Although there was a big fall in turn out, the Lib Dem vote still increased by 12,000 so clearly some of some of them did change their vote.

As the Tory vote fell by about 23,000, it seems about half of those stayed at home, while the others switched to the Lib Dems.
Biffer
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Lobby wrote: Fri Dec 17, 2021 9:24 am
Biffer wrote: Fri Dec 17, 2021 9:16 am
PCPhil wrote: Fri Dec 17, 2021 9:13 am I feel that we should congratulate the title of this thread. It is a clear message and many voters said that this it what tipped it for them.
Only problem is, they're doing exactly what the title says - not voting. The tory voters didn't turn out, not many of them changed their vote.
Although there was a big fall in turn out, the Lib Dem vote still increased by 12,000 so clearly some of some of them did change their vote.

As the Tory vote fell by about 23,000, it seems about half of those stayed at home, while the others switched to the Lib Dems.
Nope. Labour vote fell from 12.5k to 3.5k. So most of the swing was from Labour to Lib Dem.

More realistic to think that the Labour vote turned out and tried to get the Tories out, than the old dears in the shires suddenly voted against them.
And are there two g’s in Bugger Off?
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