Can't shake the feeling of this one happening, it's almost like we need to beat SA with a bonus point.clydecloggie wrote: ↑Sat Aug 12, 2023 12:09 pmI had clocked the abandon all hope stuff but not the delirious optimism bit and don't really feel like jumping on that particular train.
FWIW, I think we can beat SA first up but the maths of qualifying from the group make it almost impossible and we've got to factor in the luck of the Scots. If we beat SA, they are certain to beat Ireland and even delirious optimism wouldn't allow me to think we can beat Ireland. So a 3-way fight decided by bonus points and points difference and here's where the luck of the Scots dictates we finish third.
The Official Scottish Rugby Thread
FWIW I had a wee (admittedly brief) squint at Midi Olympique yesterday.
They had eight pages of coverage of tonight's match. The only mention I could see of the Scottish players was the list of names.
If only our opposition were so ignorant of them!
They had eight pages of coverage of tonight's match. The only mention I could see of the Scottish players was the list of names.
If only our opposition were so ignorant of them!
Yep, this is the issue. It’s not just that we have been put in a group with the two teams we are least likely to beat. It’s that we could actually beat one of them and it still not be enough for us to progress.clydecloggie wrote: ↑Sat Aug 12, 2023 12:09 pmI had clocked the abandon all hope stuff but not the delirious optimism bit and don't really feel like jumping on that particular train.
FWIW, I think we can beat SA first up but the maths of qualifying from the group make it almost impossible and we've got to factor in the luck of the Scots. If we beat SA, they are certain to beat Ireland and even delirious optimism wouldn't allow me to think we can beat Ireland. So a 3-way fight decided by bonus points and points difference and here's where the luck of the Scots dictates we finish third.
It’s frustrating as hell. If it weren’t for the bloody draw then I’d think we had the best chance in decades of going deep at a RWC. But as it is, we don’t have more than a 5% chance of getting out of our group. World Rugby properly stitched us up.
It is in truth not for glory, nor riches, nor honours that we are fighting, but for freedom - for that alone, which no honest man gives up but with life itself.
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Dunno about WR stitching us up so much. We fucked up in 2019 and didn't deserve to get out of that group. I agree ire and sa are the two teams we are least likely to beat, even with our record against NZ.
Just hope we can produce decent performances, and this really talented squad do themselves justice
Just hope we can produce decent performances, and this really talented squad do themselves justice
This is true, but WR did stitch us up.And 1 guest wrote: ↑Sat Aug 12, 2023 3:05 pm Dunno about WR stitching us up so much. We fucked up in 2019 and didn't deserve to get out of that group.
If they'd used the world rankings from the time they did the draw, we wouldn't be in a group with two big guns.
They chose to use rankings from ten months earlier, specifically to favour Japan.
My thinking is we beat SA and they then go absolutely Tonto against Ireland and break a few of themclydecloggie wrote: ↑Sat Aug 12, 2023 12:09 pmI had clocked the abandon all hope stuff but not the delirious optimism bit and don't really feel like jumping on that particular train.
FWIW, I think we can beat SA first up but the maths of qualifying from the group make it almost impossible and we've got to factor in the luck of the Scots. If we beat SA, they are certain to beat Ireland and even delirious optimism wouldn't allow me to think we can beat Ireland. So a 3-way fight decided by bonus points and points difference and here's where the luck of the Scots dictates we finish third.
All the money you made will never buy back your soul
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While there were definitely politics involved (retribution for the typhoon fiasco) and it was us who were 8th at the time of the draw, we had consistently been around 10th I think and had managed to jump ahead of Japan due to them not being able to travel due to covid. Japan were certainly very lucky having spent only around 4 months in the top 8 in their history, however whomever was hard done by the situation I am not sure it was us. We had a brief foray into the top 8 and then dropped out again.charltom wrote: ↑Sat Aug 12, 2023 4:45 pmThis is true, but WR did stitch us up.And 1 guest wrote: ↑Sat Aug 12, 2023 3:05 pm Dunno about WR stitching us up so much. We fucked up in 2019 and didn't deserve to get out of that group.
If they'd used the world rankings from the time they did the draw, we wouldn't be in a group with two big guns.
They chose to use rankings from ten months earlier, specifically to favour Japan.
That’s all from memory though so is quite possibly bollocks.
On the bright side of they've been knocked out then you'll be grinng like a cunt all day
And are there two g’s in Bugger Off?
You're buying into World Rugby's BS there. Japan couldn't travel so didn't win OR LOSE matches during Covid. Scotland moved up by achieving positive results.KingBlairhorn wrote: ↑Sat Aug 12, 2023 5:31 pmWhile there were definitely politics involved (retribution for the typhoon fiasco) and it was us who were 8th at the time of the draw, we had consistently been around 10th I think and had managed to jump ahead of Japan due to them not being able to travel due to covid. Japan were certainly very lucky having spent only around 4 months in the top 8 in their history, however whomever was hard done by the situation I am not sure it was us. We had a brief foray into the top 8 and then dropped out again.charltom wrote: ↑Sat Aug 12, 2023 4:45 pmThis is true, but WR did stitch us up.And 1 guest wrote: ↑Sat Aug 12, 2023 3:05 pm Dunno about WR stitching us up so much. We fucked up in 2019 and didn't deserve to get out of that group.
If they'd used the world rankings from the time they did the draw, we wouldn't be in a group with two big guns.
They chose to use rankings from ten months earlier, specifically to favour Japan.
That’s all from memory though so is quite possibly bollocks.
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Quick question - anyone know if any pubs in Newington area of Edinburgh are likely to be showing the game?
I'd expect cask and barrels southside would be but not sure how amazon works for pubs. And by Christ i need a pint after that England match.
I'd expect cask and barrels southside would be but not sure how amazon works for pubs. And by Christ i need a pint after that England match.
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I don’t think you are correct, there is a weighting towards recent matches so Japan’s points reduced by not playing.charltom wrote: ↑Sat Aug 12, 2023 6:39 pmYou're buying into World Rugby's BS there. Japan couldn't travel so didn't win OR LOSE matches during Covid. Scotland moved up by achieving positive results.KingBlairhorn wrote: ↑Sat Aug 12, 2023 5:31 pmWhile there were definitely politics involved (retribution for the typhoon fiasco) and it was us who were 8th at the time of the draw, we had consistently been around 10th I think and had managed to jump ahead of Japan due to them not being able to travel due to covid. Japan were certainly very lucky having spent only around 4 months in the top 8 in their history, however whomever was hard done by the situation I am not sure it was us. We had a brief foray into the top 8 and then dropped out again.
That’s all from memory though so is quite possibly bollocks.
By not playing, they didn't gain or lose points.KingBlairhorn wrote: ↑Sat Aug 12, 2023 7:00 pmI don’t think you are correct, there is a weighting towards recent matches so Japan’s points reduced by not playing.charltom wrote: ↑Sat Aug 12, 2023 6:39 pmYou're buying into World Rugby's BS there. Japan couldn't travel so didn't win OR LOSE matches during Covid. Scotland moved up by achieving positive results.KingBlairhorn wrote: ↑Sat Aug 12, 2023 5:31 pm
While there were definitely politics involved (retribution for the typhoon fiasco) and it was us who were 8th at the time of the draw, we had consistently been around 10th I think and had managed to jump ahead of Japan due to them not being able to travel due to covid. Japan were certainly very lucky having spent only around 4 months in the top 8 in their history, however whomever was hard done by the situation I am not sure it was us. We had a brief foray into the top 8 and then dropped out again.
That’s all from memory though so is quite possibly bollocks.
They did, however, retain the double points they had gained in RWC wins.
PS yesssss!
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Fuck me, 4 marginal as fuck penalties in a row. Very harsh.
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We’re 100% on the wrong side of Berry here, I don’t know how much of that is due to how Richie is talking to him? That last pen for Gilchrist not rolling, a Frenchman dived straight off his feet on top of him. Another one that could go either way, but if the ref is pissed with your captain probably goes against you.
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I missed what happened but the French seemed pretty unhappy about some head contact. Berry suggested it had been reviewed but there’s always the risk of a citing anyway. Anyone see it?
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Decent first half. Too many penalties given away but solid in defence. Line-out is a lot better. Might see more from the midfield as the game goes on
When Darge was penalised for being "too long", a decent reply might have enquired as to whether Berry had seen him play before. His balance is amazing.
GT could learn a lot by bringing his forward subs on early, with JR replaced, handing the captaincy to FR and seeing if anything changes wrt the ref.
GT could learn a lot by bringing his forward subs on early, with JR replaced, handing the captaincy to FR and seeing if anything changes wrt the ref.
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Price playing himself out of the 23 here
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Almost fucked that!
I’d love to see Duhan run more midfield moves like that wrap around there. He drew in 3 forwards to bring him down, it opens massive space.
I’d love to see Duhan run more midfield moves like that wrap around there. He drew in 3 forwards to bring him down, it opens massive space.
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Horne has been good since he came on. It saddens me to see how much Price’s game has dropped away in the last few years.
KingBlairhorn wrote: ↑Sat Aug 12, 2023 8:36 pmHorne has been good since he came on. It saddens me to see how much Price’s game has dropped away in the last few years.
Price, Sutherland and Watson since the Lions, you could add Hogg, but that was time/mileage taking its toll