Why the fuck are Tories starting to openly support Trump?
Truss did months back already. Johnson has an article in the Mail, Frost in the Telegraph, some Tory MP on Peston. In both the Johnson and Frost articles they seemed mostly concerned about "triggering the liberals", supporting Trump was worth it to annoy their opponents. Is that all it's about? Importing the most moronic urges of US politics into the UK, making any immensely damaging thing acceptable as long as your opponent gets mad?
A Trump second term would be extremely bad for the UK.
Cutting Ukraine off is becoming a central Trump campaign pledge, Trump wants the US to quit NATO, and if Taiwan is attacked he would let it burn (because of some nonsense about Taiwan stealing US jobs). Big Dog claims Trump will keep supporting Ukraine, when there's zero evidence Trump will support Ukraine, Republicans on team Trump in Congress are already blocking aid for Ukraine.
What Trump means for UK is the following (I don't think he'll win, but I'm not supporting him unlike two former PMs):
1. Europe (which will include the UK under any likely PM) having to support Ukraine on its own without the US. Ukraine probably doesn't completely collapse, but the situation becomes much worse for Ukraine.
2. Russia annexes Belarus. This is already underway, and can be done without much pushback Belarus already being a dictatorship inside the Russian sphere etc. Doing this moves Russia further into the rogue state category, making containment through sanctions or diplomacy less likely.
3. If the US is still in NATO or not, it becomes obvious Trump will ignore European security. Trump would be attempting to force a Ukrainian surrender and getting frustrated it isn't happening, if he even cared at all.
4. Europe is now stretched having to support Ukraine, and defend Polish/Baltic borders with Belarus/Russia. In 2025-2028 (the potential Trump term) Putin moves on the Baltics in a broad full scale ground invasion. The Russian troops/equipment/tactics are the same shit we've seen in Ukraine, but there's a lot of it and the Baltics are geographically smaller than Ukraine with much smaller populations (6m people). Even with Russia's awful force projection Vilnius is near the Belarus border and would immediately be sieged, given Russia's performance in Ukraine maybe Tallinn and Riga would do better. Europe's stockpile of armaments is all used in about a month (mostly from airstrikes). Europe isn't equipped/ready for a conventional full scale ground war against Russia at the same intensity as in Ukraine, so doesn't fully engage on the ground. Once Russia has the southern part of Lithuania (which Vilnius is in) there's no land resupply route for the Baltics. In every wargame I've seen of a Russian invasion of the Baltics, Lithuania doesn't last long, and resupply/manpower/geography issues means it ends in something like a US marines last stand in Riga (but with Trump there's no US marines).
5. If that came to pass Ukraine would collapse at some point after x years, even hard bastards need ammo. The next target would be Moldova which has no military worth mentioning. By this point every European economy would have taxes and debt through the roof and wartime levels of defence spending, in preparation for defending Poland.
This isn't outlandish. 1 and 2 are already happening. 3 is what Trump says. 4 and 5 are the logical outcome given Russia's/Putin's position and 1/2/3 being in place.
If you're in Europe supporting Trump is incredibly stupid.