C69 wrote: Thu Feb 08, 2024 11:18 am
This is my point. Tbh Cameron came into power with no policies apart from not being Labour.
There's a Twitter account (I cannot remember the name of) posting newspaper clippings on Labour pre-1997. It's similar to now, Blair isn't inspirational, Labour have no plans, and Major will close the gap.
A lot will depend on the manifesto. How it should work is all parties list what they're going to do in detail. But in UK politics that just provides too much of a target for opponents. The Tories have been making very vague manifestos over recent elections, which could be interpreted in many different ways, from this position they then attack detailed Labour spending pledges. The media also give the Tories a free ride, the Tories haven't built 40 new hospitals or whatever it was, Rwanda wasn't even in the manifesto, no one cares. It could be that Labour haven't really dropped their green energy plans they've just dropped the specific spending commitment to reduce the size of the target for the Tories. It would be bad for democracy, but Labour could even do something completely different to what they said they would do, and it would be no different to what the Tories are doing now.
I expect the media are going to ignore the manifestos and go on the vibes like they usually do. But Labour's will be worth reading, they'll get started implementing whatever is in there immediately. The Labour front bench is more competent in any number of ways compared to the Tory cabinet, they're going to get a lot more done than the Tories have. The media will then be completely shocked a party is relentlessly doing what their manifesto says line by line, that's the Labour 1997 script.
The other thing that'll matter is the size of the victory. If the Tories are wiped out, that'll create it's own narrative and momentum, even the Tory supporting rags will be forced to change their tune. A massive Labour win will create its own reality. It's a bit silly given the the electoral system, but try convincing anyone the Lib Dems did well in 2019 because they had the biggest vote rise, or that the difference between the Tories in 2017 and 2019 was very little (300k votes).
They'll manage a broken system better, I have doubts if that'll be enough.