OSINT researcher Jompy has updated his assessments of the current situation regarding the remains of infantry fighting vehicles and armored personnel carriers at Russia's largest storage bases. In total, as he points out, the Russians have seven such bases, and all of them are significantly empty:
- Arsenal 3018/6018: significantly emptied, half of the remaining equipment was moved to the sump, where it is gradually taken away for spare parts. Almost all MT-LBs have disappeared. According to the researcher, of the 969 infantry fighting vehicles located there, 502 currently remain, of which 273 show signs of complete disrepair.
- Arsenal 22: on its last legs. Previously, a lot of relatively new equipment was stored at this base. At the moment, only 90 BTR-80s remain there (out of 429 pre-war), of which 38 are completely rusted. Infantry fighting vehicles, mainly BMP-1, also remain at the base. There are 409 of them left out of 727 pre-war ones, at least 155 of the remaining ones are beyond repair.
- Arsenal 769/227 in Buryatia: the rate of cannibalization of armored vehicles has increased significantly. Mostly BMP-1 remain, their number has dropped to 552 from 918 pre-war, some remaining are also beyond repair.
- Arsenal 111 near Khabarovsk: a huge settling tank for equipment of little use for repair. During the war, only 59 infantry fighting vehicles were removed from there; it is doubtful that any significant number of others will be removed.
- Arsenal 1295: almost completely empty, and for quite some time. 156 BMP-1 BMP-1s remain at the base, of which 69 are clearly broken.
- Arsenal 2544: was the main storage place for airborne combat vehicles (the number of which the Russians generally had dropped to a strategically insignificant number). 285 of 343 pre-war infantry fighting vehicles and 250 of 306 pre-war BTR-70 armored personnel carriers remain at the base.
- Arsenal 1311: almost all that was stored there were tanks.
In total, according to Jompy, of the 4,191 infantry fighting vehicles located at their main storage bases, 2,793 currently remain there. Of the remaining infantry fighting vehicles, 1,814 appear to be beyond repair. Almost all remaining BMPs are BMP-1s, and BMP-2s are becoming an endangered vehicle as the Ukrainians knock them out. The rate of cannibalization is increasing, although it requires a separate study. The number of remaining armored personnel carriers is 451 units.
Cannibalized equipment is not useless, as it allows you to support the armored vehicles that are in service. However, Jompy's assessment remains the same: in a year and a half, the Russians will exhaust all reserves of armored infantry vehicles, and the only source of replenishment will be the production of new ones, which does not exceed several hundred units per year.
* Jompy relies on satellite images purchased by the teams Viyskovy Vishchun, Mortis Aeterna and Resurgam. The names of the storage databases are given as in Jompy.
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