So, coronavirus...

Where goats go to escape
Biffer
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Glaston wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 12:38 pm
frodder wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 7:54 am I gave into temptation today to look at the DM comments section after the new mutant virus that only appears to reside in London/South-East. They've concluded that the vaccines developed (which didn't work anyway) are now null and void.

Oh and the earth is flat apparently
What happened to the different strain that came out of Spain in Sept?

That seems to have been forgotten.
It's been mentioned in every news bulletin I've heard talking about the new strain identified in the last few days. It's been referred to regularly as one of the main strains that caused the up swing in September. It's not been forgotten in any science circles.
And are there two g’s in Bugger Off?
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frodder
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Glaston wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 12:38 pm
frodder wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 7:54 am I gave into temptation today to look at the DM comments section after the new mutant virus that only appears to reside in London/South-East. They've concluded that the vaccines developed (which didn't work anyway) are now null and void.

Oh and the earth is flat apparently
What happened to the different strain that came out of Spain in Sept?

That seems to have been forgotten.
Ditto earlier reports in the summer time coming from Italy. The way Hancock announced it yesterday was a headline generator. The BBC had a topic on it and was opened up for HYS. Suffice to say there was healthy dose of scepticism going on.
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Paddington Bear
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Watford pretty rammed, pubs and restaurants too.
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SaintK
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Paddington Bear wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 2:09 pm Watford pretty rammed, pubs and restaurants too.
In tier 3 from midnight tonight?
Watch out for a screetching u turn on Christmas covid arrangements in the next 48 hours
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Saint
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SaintK wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 3:07 pm
Paddington Bear wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 2:09 pm Watford pretty rammed, pubs and restaurants too.
In tier 3 from midnight tonight?
Watch out for a screetching u turn on Christmas covid arrangements in the next 48 hours
Yeah, I reckon so. At minimum they're going to try and ban households from different tiers mixing, could easily be no travel more than 30 miles. Don't think they'll completely ban Christmas bubbles though as I just don't see many people actually following that guidance and enforcement would be next to impossible
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Insane_Homer
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:bimbo: but deaths are falling :bimbo:
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Rhubarb & Custard
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Saint wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 3:12 pm
SaintK wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 3:07 pm
Paddington Bear wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 2:09 pm Watford pretty rammed, pubs and restaurants too.
In tier 3 from midnight tonight?
Watch out for a screetching u turn on Christmas covid arrangements in the next 48 hours
Yeah, I reckon so. At minimum they're going to try and ban households from different tiers mixing, could easily be no travel more than 30 miles. Don't think they'll completely ban Christmas bubbles though as I just don't see many people actually following that guidance and enforcement would be next to impossible
Why with the levels ramping up so in schools they didn't end on-site term 10-14 days earlier and go back to online allowing the virus to work through households ahead of Christmas mixing I don't know. This is like when they refused to lockdown in sync with half-term, they're actively choosing to have a bigger problem for no sensible reason
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Saint
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Rhubarb & Custard wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 3:46 pm
Saint wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 3:12 pm
SaintK wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 3:07 pm
In tier 3 from midnight tonight?
Watch out for a screetching u turn on Christmas covid arrangements in the next 48 hours
Yeah, I reckon so. At minimum they're going to try and ban households from different tiers mixing, could easily be no travel more than 30 miles. Don't think they'll completely ban Christmas bubbles though as I just don't see many people actually following that guidance and enforcement would be next to impossible
Why with the levels ramping up so in schools they didn't end on-site term 10-14 days earlier and go back to online allowing the virus to work through households ahead of Christmas mixing I don't know. This is like when they refused to lockdown in sync with half-term, they're actively choosing to have a bigger problem for no sensible reason
I know. Makes precisely no sense at all
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Sandstorm
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You guys are looking at this expecting the Govt to have a handle on this and know WTF they are doing. :think:
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SaintK
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Saint wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 3:54 pm
Rhubarb & Custard wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 3:46 pm
Saint wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 3:12 pm

Yeah, I reckon so. At minimum they're going to try and ban households from different tiers mixing, could easily be no travel more than 30 miles. Don't think they'll completely ban Christmas bubbles though as I just don't see many people actually following that guidance and enforcement would be next to impossible
Why with the levels ramping up so in schools they didn't end on-site term 10-14 days earlier and go back to online allowing the virus to work through households ahead of Christmas mixing I don't know. This is like when they refused to lockdown in sync with half-term, they're actively choosing to have a bigger problem for no sensible reason
I know. Makes precisely no sense at all
Williamson threatened Greenwich Council with immediate legal action yesterday if they did that
Rhubarb & Custard
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SaintK wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 4:27 pm
Saint wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 3:54 pm
Rhubarb & Custard wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 3:46 pm

Why with the levels ramping up so in schools they didn't end on-site term 10-14 days earlier and go back to online allowing the virus to work through households ahead of Christmas mixing I don't know. This is like when they refused to lockdown in sync with half-term, they're actively choosing to have a bigger problem for no sensible reason
I know. Makes precisely no sense at all
Williamson threatened Greenwich Council with immediate legal action yesterday if they did that
Which would have something to it as a strategy if they weren't going to lockdown after the festivities (or even cancel the relaxation of the rules). As is it just looks a horrible muddle of decision making and communication, exactly what they were told to avoid in management of a massive public safety issue.

Other than the billions removed from the tax payer coffers for friends and family of the cabinet it's hard to see what they're trying to do
Biffer
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Sandstorm wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 4:21 pm You guys are looking at this expecting the Govt to have a handle on this and know WTF they are doing. :think:
Yeah, it's difficult to understand why people are still surprised by this.
And are there two g’s in Bugger Off?
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fishfoodie
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It sounds like things are right on the edge of out-of-control in NI :sad: :sad:
Queues of ambulances have formed outside several hospitals in Northern Ireland as pressure continues to mount on the over-capacity health service.

The scenes unfolded as First Minister Arlene Foster participated in a call with other UK political leaders to review the planned relaxation of restrictions on household gatherings over Christmas.

No decisions were taken, with Stormont ministers set to convene to discuss the situation on Thursday amid intensifying calls from medics to rethink the relaxations and introduce fresh measures to curb the spread of the coronavirus.

..
they need to find a set of balls; & do their duty to their electorate & take decisions to protect the thick feckers from themselves; because it is increasingly apparent, that trusting people to do the right thing hasn't worked; & now, more draconian measures are required, because the Politicians chose popularity over doing what was required.
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The Druid
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It seems that the Oxford-AstraZeneca effort has become the British Leyland of vaccines.
Bimbowomxn
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Insane_Homer wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 3:20 pm :bimbo: but deaths are falling :bimbo:


Have you stopped gleefully reporting them?
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Saint
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The Druid wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 9:45 pm It seems that the Oxford-AstraZeneca effort has become the British Leyland of vaccines.
I think that's a but unfair. They had their manufacturing/dosage error early on, made the regulator aware, got approval for the study to continue..... but it threw up a massively unexpected result. That in turn means the data is far more complex to analyse and sign off. Remember, it's the regulator that makes the dosage recommendation when there is multiple datasets, not the manufacturer
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fishfoodie
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Saint wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 10:12 pm
The Druid wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 9:45 pm It seems that the Oxford-AstraZeneca effort has become the British Leyland of vaccines.
I think that's a but unfair. They had their manufacturing/dosage error early on, made the regulator aware, got approval for the study to continue..... but it threw up a massively unexpected result. That in turn means the data is far more complex to analyse and sign off. Remember, it's the regulator that makes the dosage recommendation when there is multiple datasets, not the manufacturer
It still has the advantage of being logistically, the easiest to distribute; & with cost & the humanitarian ethos of it's development, will probably mean that it is the vaccine that will be delivered to the most people on the planet
Bimbowomxn
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Bimbowomxn wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 9:49 pm
Insane_Homer wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 3:20 pm :bimbo: but deaths are falling :bimbo:


Have you stopped gleefully reporting them?

We also in England haven’t had a rise in cases (positive tests) for 6 days now,
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Sandstorm
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fishfoodie wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 10:17 pm
Saint wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 10:12 pm
The Druid wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 9:45 pm It seems that the Oxford-AstraZeneca effort has become the British Leyland of vaccines.
I think that's a but unfair. They had their manufacturing/dosage error early on, made the regulator aware, got approval for the study to continue..... but it threw up a massively unexpected result. That in turn means the data is far more complex to analyse and sign off. Remember, it's the regulator that makes the dosage recommendation when there is multiple datasets, not the manufacturer
It still has the advantage of being logistically, the easiest to distribute; & with cost & the humanitarian ethos of it's development, will probably mean that it is the vaccine that will be delivered to the most people on the planet
Yup. I rather drive 20 miles to work in an Allegro than have to walk it.
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fishfoodie
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Sandstorm wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 10:19 pm
fishfoodie wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 10:17 pm
Saint wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 10:12 pm

I think that's a but unfair. They had their manufacturing/dosage error early on, made the regulator aware, got approval for the study to continue..... but it threw up a massively unexpected result. That in turn means the data is far more complex to analyse and sign off. Remember, it's the regulator that makes the dosage recommendation when there is multiple datasets, not the manufacturer
It still has the advantage of being logistically, the easiest to distribute; & with cost & the humanitarian ethos of it's development, will probably mean that it is the vaccine that will be delivered to the most people on the planet
Yup. I rather drive 20 miles to work in an Allegro than have to walk it.
and now at least you can justify wearing a mask while you are in that Allegro, or wedge of cheese !
Last edited by fishfoodie on Tue Dec 15, 2020 10:24 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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The Druid
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Saint wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 10:12 pm
The Druid wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 9:45 pm It seems that the Oxford-AstraZeneca effort has become the British Leyland of vaccines.
I think that's a but unfair. They had their manufacturing/dosage error early on, made the regulator aware, got approval for the study to continue..... but it threw up a massively unexpected result. That in turn means the data is far more complex to analyse and sign off. Remember, it's the regulator that makes the dosage recommendation when there is multiple datasets, not the manufacturer
I take your point, it was a rather flippant comment I suppose. It does seem that it will never be accepted by the US regulator though, which if true will be a huge setback after all the effort involved.
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fishfoodie
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The Druid wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 10:24 pm
Saint wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 10:12 pm
The Druid wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 9:45 pm It seems that the Oxford-AstraZeneca effort has become the British Leyland of vaccines.
I think that's a but unfair. They had their manufacturing/dosage error early on, made the regulator aware, got approval for the study to continue..... but it threw up a massively unexpected result. That in turn means the data is far more complex to analyse and sign off. Remember, it's the regulator that makes the dosage recommendation when there is multiple datasets, not the manufacturer
I take your point, it was a rather flippant comment I suppose. It does seem that it will never be accepted by the US regulator though, which if true will be a huge setback after all the effort involved.
In Covid matters, the US is always an excellent example of what NOT to do !
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Sandstorm
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I’m terrified I’ll get Covid and not be able to smell the large pile of cheeses I’m amassing for Xmas.
Rhubarb & Custard
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Sandstorm wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 10:19 pm

Yup. I rather drive 20 miles to work in an Allegro than have to walk it.
Would I have to walk it whilst suffering with a plague? 'cause just 20 miles seems easier and faster than an Allegro
Biffer
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The Druid wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 9:45 pm It seems that the Oxford-AstraZeneca effort has become the British Leyland of vaccines.
Yeah, it's absolutely terrible that they've managed to get a vaccine developed to the point of approval in less than a year, how shit is that.

You fucking halfwit.
And are there two g’s in Bugger Off?
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Saint
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The Druid wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 10:24 pm
Saint wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 10:12 pm
The Druid wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 9:45 pm It seems that the Oxford-AstraZeneca effort has become the British Leyland of vaccines.
I think that's a but unfair. They had their manufacturing/dosage error early on, made the regulator aware, got approval for the study to continue..... but it threw up a massively unexpected result. That in turn means the data is far more complex to analyse and sign off. Remember, it's the regulator that makes the dosage recommendation when there is multiple datasets, not the manufacturer
I take your point, it was a rather flippant comment I suppose. It does seem that it will never be accepted by the US regulator though, which if true will be a huge setback after all the effort involved.
There's a separate US study, expected end of Jan. Most if the doomsayers appear to be US financial analysts whose impartiality is questionable - but ultimately the enormous benefit of the AZ vaccine is not in the US.
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Paddington Bear
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Biffer wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 11:31 pm
The Druid wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 9:45 pm It seems that the Oxford-AstraZeneca effort has become the British Leyland of vaccines.
Yeah, it's absolutely terrible that they've managed to get a vaccine developed to the point of approval in less than a year, how shit is that.

You fucking halfwit.
It's vintage of a particularly British attitude to our own stuff that is fairly cringeworthy. It must be crap because it's British, everyone else definitely doesn't have similar issues, rather than hope it works aim for snark from the start. Bin.
Old men forget: yet all shall be forgot, But he'll remember with advantages, What feats he did that day
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frodder
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Saint wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 11:43 pm
The Druid wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 10:24 pm
Saint wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 10:12 pm

I think that's a but unfair. They had their manufacturing/dosage error early on, made the regulator aware, got approval for the study to continue..... but it threw up a massively unexpected result. That in turn means the data is far more complex to analyse and sign off. Remember, it's the regulator that makes the dosage recommendation when there is multiple datasets, not the manufacturer
I take your point, it was a rather flippant comment I suppose. It does seem that it will never be accepted by the US regulator though, which if true will be a huge setback after all the effort involved.
There's a separate US study, expected end of Jan. Most if the doomsayers appear to be US financial analysts whose impartiality is questionable - but ultimately the enormous benefit of the AZ vaccine is not in the US.

Worked with with FDA for over 20 years. Their purpose is to primarily to ensure rigorous standards however it's also to protect US interests which has thrown up some questionable decisions in my past workings with them
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Insane_Homer
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Bimbowomxn wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 9:49 pm
Insane_Homer wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 3:20 pm :bimbo: but deaths are falling :bimbo:
Have you stopped gleefully reporting them?
No and No. Never gleefully, the guy reporting them via twitter has been slack lately and I've been otherwise occupied.

Here's yesterdays
151220.JPG
151220.JPG (64.99 KiB) Viewed 822 times
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
“Facts are meaningless. You could use facts to prove anything that's even remotely true.”
dpedin
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Someone on here pointed me in the direction of this website which provides a good summation of the data available. All the modelling I have seen suggests we are heading for a 3rd wave in January/February and deaths, however we measure them will increase, over and above the usual winter peak. Brace yourself for a tight lock down post Xmas.

https://www.travellingtabby.com/uk-coronavirus-tracker/
Slick
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Paddington Bear wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 7:27 am
Biffer wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 11:31 pm
The Druid wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 9:45 pm It seems that the Oxford-AstraZeneca effort has become the British Leyland of vaccines.
Yeah, it's absolutely terrible that they've managed to get a vaccine developed to the point of approval in less than a year, how shit is that.

You fucking halfwit.
It's vintage of a particularly British attitude to our own stuff that is fairly cringeworthy. It must be crap because it's British, everyone else definitely doesn't have similar issues, rather than hope it works aim for snark from the start. Bin.
It's true, really infuriates me.

The current situation also seems to be quite British though. Opinion polls say the majority of people don't want a relaxation of rules over Christmas but unless we are actually told not to do it, the majority will go ahead anyway.
All the money you made will never buy back your soul
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Openside
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Slick wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 10:39 am
Paddington Bear wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 7:27 am
Biffer wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 11:31 pm

Yeah, it's absolutely terrible that they've managed to get a vaccine developed to the point of approval in less than a year, how shit is that.

You fucking halfwit.
It's vintage of a particularly British attitude to our own stuff that is fairly cringeworthy. It must be crap because it's British, everyone else definitely doesn't have similar issues, rather than hope it works aim for snark from the start. Bin.
It's true, really infuriates me.

The current situation also seems to be quite British though. Opinion polls say the majority of people don't want a relaxation of rules over Christmas but unless we are actually told not to do it, the majority will go ahead anyway.
I wonder who they are talking to in these polls, I haven't spoken to a single advocate of lockdowns for months. FTR I am obeying them (before there is a pile on. )
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Paddington Bear
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Slick wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 10:39 am
Paddington Bear wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 7:27 am
Biffer wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 11:31 pm

Yeah, it's absolutely terrible that they've managed to get a vaccine developed to the point of approval in less than a year, how shit is that.

You fucking halfwit.
It's vintage of a particularly British attitude to our own stuff that is fairly cringeworthy. It must be crap because it's British, everyone else definitely doesn't have similar issues, rather than hope it works aim for snark from the start. Bin.
It's true, really infuriates me.

The current situation also seems to be quite British though. Opinion polls say the majority of people don't want a relaxation of rules over Christmas but unless we are actually told not to do it, the majority will go ahead anyway.
It's looking increasingly silly. I got it more when there was no end in sight, but the people who are likeliest to die from Christmas interaction would be vaccinated by March. There's light at the end of the tunnel, so not to ask for one last heave seems like a major blunder.
Old men forget: yet all shall be forgot, But he'll remember with advantages, What feats he did that day
Slick
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Openside wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 11:18 am
Slick wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 10:39 am
Paddington Bear wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 7:27 am
It's vintage of a particularly British attitude to our own stuff that is fairly cringeworthy. It must be crap because it's British, everyone else definitely doesn't have similar issues, rather than hope it works aim for snark from the start. Bin.
It's true, really infuriates me.

The current situation also seems to be quite British though. Opinion polls say the majority of people don't want a relaxation of rules over Christmas but unless we are actually told not to do it, the majority will go ahead anyway.
I wonder who they are talking to in these polls, I haven't spoken to a single advocate of lockdowns for months. FTR I am obeying them (before there is a pile on. )
people not at the golf club I imagine
All the money you made will never buy back your soul
Rinkals
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Openside wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 11:18 am
Slick wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 10:39 am
Paddington Bear wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 7:27 am
It's vintage of a particularly British attitude to our own stuff that is fairly cringeworthy. It must be crap because it's British, everyone else definitely doesn't have similar issues, rather than hope it works aim for snark from the start. Bin.
It's true, really infuriates me.

The current situation also seems to be quite British though. Opinion polls say the majority of people don't want a relaxation of rules over Christmas but unless we are actually told not to do it, the majority will go ahead anyway.
I wonder who they are talking to in these polls, I haven't spoken to a single advocate of lockdowns for months. FTR I am obeying them (before there is a pile on. )
As the resident "Grandad on Facebook" I can see why you'd be miffed at not being part of the poll.
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Openside
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Slick wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 11:25 am
Openside wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 11:18 am
Slick wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 10:39 am

It's true, really infuriates me.

The current situation also seems to be quite British though. Opinion polls say the majority of people don't want a relaxation of rules over Christmas but unless we are actually told not to do it, the majority will go ahead anyway.
I wonder who they are talking to in these polls, I haven't spoken to a single advocate of lockdowns for months. FTR I am obeying them (before there is a pile on. )
people not at the golf club I imagine
:lolno: Contrary to popular belief I don't spend all my time at the golf course, (there is also Real Tennis to consider :wink: ) I talk you a reasonably large number of people and No one, but no one thinks lockdowns are the way forward. Since golf clubs are full of generally older members of the population (who are most at risk) it doesn't even really make sense as a theory??
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Openside
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Rinkals wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 11:43 am
Openside wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 11:18 am
Slick wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 10:39 am

It's true, really infuriates me.

The current situation also seems to be quite British though. Opinion polls say the majority of people don't want a relaxation of rules over Christmas but unless we are actually told not to do it, the majority will go ahead anyway.
I wonder who they are talking to in these polls, I haven't spoken to a single advocate of lockdowns for months. FTR I am obeying them (before there is a pile on. )
As the resident "Grandad on Facebook" I can see why you'd be miffed at not being part of the poll.
Don't bother.
GogLais
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Rinkals wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 11:43 am
Openside wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 11:18 am
Slick wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 10:39 am

It's true, really infuriates me.

The current situation also seems to be quite British though. Opinion polls say the majority of people don't want a relaxation of rules over Christmas but unless we are actually told not to do it, the majority will go ahead anyway.
I wonder who they are talking to in these polls, I haven't spoken to a single advocate of lockdowns for months. FTR I am obeying them (before there is a pile on. )
As the resident "Grandad on Facebook" I can see why you'd be miffed at not being part of the poll.
Speaking of that, I'm getting miffed at all this "Don't give Granny Covid" headlines. What about us old codgers eh?
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Saint
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Wales issues guidance that Christmas bubbles should be restricted to 2 households. But the law will remain 3 households
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JM2K6
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Saint wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 12:51 pm Wales issues guidance that Christmas bubbles should be restricted to 2 households. But the law will remain 3 households
And a fresh lockdown for Wales starting on the 28th.
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