What would expect it to do on this forum?Guy Smiley wrote: ↑Wed Jun 01, 2022 11:57 pm Colour me surprised that a discussion over the rights of women and their bodily autonomy should turn into a bunch of white guys arguing semantics over a graph.
Abortion. Pro or anti?.
-
- Posts: 792
- Joined: Tue Jul 28, 2020 12:09 pm
Firstly, as the article you took that graph from points out, the total amount of agricultural land is falling, cropland is not.petej wrote: ↑Wed Jun 01, 2022 8:32 pm
Is this true? I thought we are past peak cropland?
https://ourworldindata.org/peak-agriculture-land
Screenshot_20220601-212722.png
The second largest food exporter in the world is the Netherlands and that land has been farmed for 100s of years.
https://ourworldindata.org/land-useBeneath this global picture there are a range of national patterns of land use. Many countries have passed this peak, but there are some where agricultural land is still increasing.
This is especially true of croplands, which are still expanding globally.
The article also makes the point many others do that agricultural production is rising so we are fine. It is that simplistic view that means we are sleep walking to disaster.
There is no question that some food crops are now being produced in innovative, less land intensive ways, like hydroponics. None of these so far are a silver bullet. Hydroponics, greenhouses etc do allow very efficient production of certain foods. But although there are gains to be made from controlling the environment, these remain relatively expensive methods of growing compared to just sticking a seed in the ground. The bulk crops that provide most of the calories humanity uses either can't be grown by these methods, or can't be economically. So unless someone comes up with something revolutionary, we are stuck prairies of wheat etc.
The point I am making is that to achieve these gains in production, we are consuming the fertile capital that took aeons to develop, and we cannot keep doing so. Here is an article from the BBC that covers some of what I am talking about.
https://www.bbc.com/future/bespoke/foll ... rom-farms/
The Netherlands is fairly unimportant in terms of calorie exports. It is second highest agricultural exporter by value due to the large volume of high value flowers and ornamental live plants it exports. Plus high value vegetables. The majority of which are grown in greenhouses, which gets back the point I made above. There are alternatives to cropland, but they mostly work for high value, low volume crops.
If you watched it, there was a throwaway line in 'Clarkson's Farm' '.......there are only 100 harvests left'. It was not discussed on the programme, but may be expanded on in the next series as he, like many other farmers, has brought cattle back onto his arable farm. The mixed farming of the past is making a comeback in the UK, updated with modern science and techniques, precisely because farmers are seeing the impact of modern intensive methods and are going back to the past when mixed farming allowed soil to be fertilised naturally.
- Torquemada 1420
- Posts: 11155
- Joined: Thu Jul 02, 2020 8:22 am
- Location: Hut 8
Yup. What these white middle class Westerners ^^^^ can't contemplate from their privileged ivory towers is that the overwhelming majority of the population (> 90%) lives in standards a light year away from theirs (maybe get out a bit more, eh lads?). Once their demands on resources come anywhere near what we are consuming/wasting, the acceleration of the death of the planet will attain warp speed.sockwithaticket wrote: ↑Wed Jun 01, 2022 2:14 pmI'll have a stab. I'm perhaps not as forthright on it as Torq, but I have come to think we've got a good 2 - 3 billion people more than is desirable if we intend to keep the planet habitable unless everyone massively drops their expectations around living standards (constant hot and running cold water, as much power on demand as we like, being able to buy mangos in the super market all year round, etc.).Raggs wrote: ↑Wed Jun 01, 2022 9:33 amNow all you've got to do is show how we have an overpopulation problem. Rather than an economic one.Torquemada 1420 wrote: ↑Wed Jun 01, 2022 9:04 amMaybe you are just being wilfully obtuse or maybe you simply can't grasp the issue. We are in the midst of the population explosion i.e. precisely when it started is a complete sideshow. The planet is already massively overpopulated with humans. It's irrelevant now whether the rate of acceleration is declining: it's still +ve which means every addition is another problem.
Insect and animal populations the world over are suffering massively due largely to habitat destruction, either for settlement or economic activity. They are still at the heart of a lot of agriculture, whether we like it or not. Particularly insects. There's all sorts of unintended consequences to things just vanishing out of food chainsMore equitable sharing of resources among the current global population doesn't fill the oceans back up or restore pollinators to the numbers of previous decades. Even if we stopped polluting and poisoning, so much habitat has been chopped down and built on or used to grow food. Then there's climate change.
Close to 8 billion people has an ecological impact that I'm not sure is compatible with an earth people (or anything else bar single cell organisms and cockroaches) can live on.
I am more to the left of that number at 1-2 bn.
- Torquemada 1420
- Posts: 11155
- Joined: Thu Jul 02, 2020 8:22 am
- Location: Hut 8
Yeah. F**k anything else.
And, of course, 7 billion people are going to live on cornburgers whilst living in single rooms in high rise flats with no white goods or transport?
-
- Posts: 792
- Joined: Tue Jul 28, 2020 12:09 pm
This post is brought to you by a man who once had a meeting with his garden lighting consultant in a central London pub.Torquemada 1420 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 02, 2022 2:51 pmYup. What these white middle class Westerners ^^^^ can't contemplate from their privileged ivory towers is that the overwhelming majority of the population (> 90%) lives in standards a light year away from theirs (maybe get out a bit more, eh lads?). Once their demands on resources come anywhere near what we are consuming/wasting, the acceleration of the death of the planet will attain warp speed.sockwithaticket wrote: ↑Wed Jun 01, 2022 2:14 pmI'll have a stab. I'm perhaps not as forthright on it as Torq, but I have come to think we've got a good 2 - 3 billion people more than is desirable if we intend to keep the planet habitable unless everyone massively drops their expectations around living standards (constant hot and running cold water, as much power on demand as we like, being able to buy mangos in the super market all year round, etc.).
Insect and animal populations the world over are suffering massively due largely to habitat destruction, either for settlement or economic activity. They are still at the heart of a lot of agriculture, whether we like it or not. Particularly insects. There's all sorts of unintended consequences to things just vanishing out of food chainsMore equitable sharing of resources among the current global population doesn't fill the oceans back up or restore pollinators to the numbers of previous decades. Even if we stopped polluting and poisoning, so much habitat has been chopped down and built on or used to grow food. Then there's climate change.
Close to 8 billion people has an ecological impact that I'm not sure is compatible with an earth people (or anything else bar single cell organisms and cockroaches) can live on.
I am more to the left of that number at 1-2 bn.
Ffs torq, condescend much??
I'm glad to see you're starting to understand this is an economics issue, rather than a population one.Torquemada 1420 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 02, 2022 2:51 pmYup. What these white middle class Westerners ^^^^ can't contemplate from their privileged ivory towers is that the overwhelming majority of the population (> 90%) lives in standards a light year away from theirs (maybe get out a bit more, eh lads?). Once their demands on resources come anywhere near what we are consuming/wasting, the acceleration of the death of the planet will attain warp speed.sockwithaticket wrote: ↑Wed Jun 01, 2022 2:14 pmI'll have a stab. I'm perhaps not as forthright on it as Torq, but I have come to think we've got a good 2 - 3 billion people more than is desirable if we intend to keep the planet habitable unless everyone massively drops their expectations around living standards (constant hot and running cold water, as much power on demand as we like, being able to buy mangos in the super market all year round, etc.).
Insect and animal populations the world over are suffering massively due largely to habitat destruction, either for settlement or economic activity. They are still at the heart of a lot of agriculture, whether we like it or not. Particularly insects. There's all sorts of unintended consequences to things just vanishing out of food chainsMore equitable sharing of resources among the current global population doesn't fill the oceans back up or restore pollinators to the numbers of previous decades. Even if we stopped polluting and poisoning, so much habitat has been chopped down and built on or used to grow food. Then there's climate change.
Close to 8 billion people has an ecological impact that I'm not sure is compatible with an earth people (or anything else bar single cell organisms and cockroaches) can live on.
I am more to the left of that number at 1-2 bn.
Which 1-2bn do you think are most likely to go out of the population? Those wasting a ton of resources, or those barely using them? This is an economics issue, rather than a population one at this time. There's already more than enough food produced to feed everyone, and for the most part, that's not being produced with the best methods that would allow for even more. Nuclear and renewables can remove a massive demand for fossil fuels. Re-greening deserts is also achievable (and has been achieved), which will even place food more easily into the hands of those that more often need it. All of these things can be achieved, with money, but instead we have billionaires and millionaires hoarding wealth doing nothing. If we already produce enough food to feed 1.5x the population, before re-greening and improving technologies, there's also enough habitable land for every person to get acres each (again, before re-greening projects, though that wouldn't have a huge difference). Ignoring the fact that large numbers (and hell, even just families) are happy to live together in far more dense environments than that.
Our population is not the issue, our economics are.
Give a man a fire and he'll be warm for a day. Set a man on fire and he'll be warm for the rest of his life.
Mass sterilisation of poor people works for me.
Before a problem can be solved, it must be recognised there is a problem.
I can't see any simple, globally acceptable way of reducing the population. That does not mean we should not raise the issue and discuss it. The more it is discussed, the more likely it is that it will enter the debate of what we need to do to ensure the sustainability of the human population on the planet, which may lead to workable solutions. Though I do not have a scooby what they would be.
- Guy Smiley
- Posts: 6014
- Joined: Mon Jun 29, 2020 7:52 pm
I've spent my adult life expecting great things from my fellow humans... compassion, empathy, curiosity, humility and among many others things, a childlike charm and fascination in the wonders of the universe.Happyhooker wrote: ↑Thu Jun 02, 2022 8:23 amWhat would expect it to do on this forum?Guy Smiley wrote: ↑Wed Jun 01, 2022 11:57 pm Colour me surprised that a discussion over the rights of women and their bodily autonomy should turn into a bunch of white guys arguing semantics over a graph.
My expectations leave me bruised, battered and bleeding in the face of reality.
Every time.
-
- Posts: 3065
- Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 7:37 am
-
- Posts: 792
- Joined: Tue Jul 28, 2020 12:09 pm
No, it's driving a moped off a cliff that does thatGuy Smiley wrote: ↑Thu Jun 02, 2022 5:26 pmI've spent my adult life expecting great things from my fellow humans... compassion, empathy, curiosity, humility and among many others things, a childlike charm and fascination in the wonders of the universe.Happyhooker wrote: ↑Thu Jun 02, 2022 8:23 amWhat would expect it to do on this forum?Guy Smiley wrote: ↑Wed Jun 01, 2022 11:57 pm Colour me surprised that a discussion over the rights of women and their bodily autonomy should turn into a bunch of white guys arguing semantics over a graph.
My expectations leave me bruised, battered and bleeding in the face of reality.
Every time.
-
- Posts: 792
- Joined: Tue Jul 28, 2020 12:09 pm
- Guy Smiley
- Posts: 6014
- Joined: Mon Jun 29, 2020 7:52 pm
I expected more from you.Happyhooker wrote: ↑Thu Jun 02, 2022 5:59 pmNo, it's driving a moped off a cliff that does thatGuy Smiley wrote: ↑Thu Jun 02, 2022 5:26 pmI've spent my adult life expecting great things from my fellow humans... compassion, empathy, curiosity, humility and among many others things, a childlike charm and fascination in the wonders of the universe.
My expectations leave me bruised, battered and bleeding in the face of reality.
Every time.
Not so much. The Black Death did, definitely. But apart from that pandemics generally haven’t slowed down population growth much. And wars haven’t. The population of the planet was higher in 1919 than it was in 1914.
There is one thing that provably lowers the birth rate on a macro societal scale. Educating girls and young women. Not about sex and birth control particularly, but general education. Where that happens in a consistent widespread way in a country over ten or twenty years, the birth rate drops dramatically and ends up going down to about 2.
It’s the only thing proven to have a long term effect. Except for the Black Death, and we probably don’t want to do that unless we’re raving fans of eugenics.
And are there two g’s in Bugger Off?
Compassion to anyone unless they’re white males obvs.Guy Smiley wrote: ↑Thu Jun 02, 2022 5:26 pmI've spent my adult life expecting great things from my fellow humans... compassion, empathy, curiosity, humility and among many others things, a childlike charm and fascination in the wonders of the universe.Happyhooker wrote: ↑Thu Jun 02, 2022 8:23 amWhat would expect it to do on this forum?Guy Smiley wrote: ↑Wed Jun 01, 2022 11:57 pm Colour me surprised that a discussion over the rights of women and their bodily autonomy should turn into a bunch of white guys arguing semantics over a graph.
My expectations leave me bruised, battered and bleeding in the face of reality.
Every time.
-
- Posts: 792
- Joined: Tue Jul 28, 2020 12:09 pm
DittoGuy Smiley wrote: ↑Thu Jun 02, 2022 6:06 pmI expected more from you.Happyhooker wrote: ↑Thu Jun 02, 2022 5:59 pmNo, it's driving a moped off a cliff that does thatGuy Smiley wrote: ↑Thu Jun 02, 2022 5:26 pm
I've spent my adult life expecting great things from my fellow humans... compassion, empathy, curiosity, humility and among many others things, a childlike charm and fascination in the wonders of the universe.
My expectations leave me bruised, battered and bleeding in the face of reality.
Every time.
Jesus fucking Christ.weegie01 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 02, 2022 5:17 pmMass sterilisation of poor people works for me.
Before a problem can be solved, it must be recognised there is a problem.
I can't see any simple, globally acceptable way of reducing the population. That does not mean we should not raise the issue and discuss it. The more it is discussed, the more likely it is that it will enter the debate of what we need to do to ensure the sustainability of the human population on the planet, which may lead to workable solutions. Though I do not have a scooby what they would be.
Incidentally, most European countries have stagnant or shrinking populations and birth rates and require immigration to maintain their economies. Population increase is not a problem in Europe, and I'm fairly sure the "sterilise the poor" crowd are talking closer to home, so that's pretty funny.
But never mind, the world's pisspoor response to the climate emergency should see plenty of the poors in less wealthy countries die off in huge numbers soon enough, so that'll cheer some of you lot up a bit
- Guy Smiley
- Posts: 6014
- Joined: Mon Jun 29, 2020 7:52 pm
I did think the rest of the post in which I say we need to discuss this to find a way forward, and I have no clue what the solution is may have been a clue.
But lesson learned.
-
- Posts: 792
- Joined: Tue Jul 28, 2020 12:09 pm
I understand, but it read like you were just saying that you realised it was an unpalatable solution to most people therefore unworkable, but one you were keen on. Anyway, all cleared up!
Seriously?Happyhooker wrote: ↑Thu Jun 02, 2022 10:36 pmtorq definitely believes in this shit, which is why you have to be careful.
I honestly thought that was such an extreme position no one could possibly think it was real.
Yes but we've all spent too much time reading the PR forum which has more than its fair share of absolute zoomers.weegie01 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 02, 2022 11:56 pmSeriously?Happyhooker wrote: ↑Thu Jun 02, 2022 10:36 pmtorq definitely believes in this shit, which is why you have to be careful.
I honestly thought that was such an extreme position no one could possibly think it was real.
Struck me as so far out of your normal personality on here that it must be an attempt to be ironic.weegie01 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 02, 2022 11:56 pmSeriously?Happyhooker wrote: ↑Thu Jun 02, 2022 10:36 pmtorq definitely believes in this shit, which is why you have to be careful.
I honestly thought that was such an extreme position no one could possibly think it was real.
Would be believable for Torq on the other hand, that man must be choking on his own bile.
Carousel is a 1956 American drama fantasy musical film based on the 1945 Rodgers and Hammerstein stage musical of the same name, which in turn was based on Ferenc Molnár's 1909 non-musical play Liliom. The film stars Gordon MacRae and Shirley Jones, and was directed by Henry King. Like the original stage production, the film contains what many critics consider some of Rodgers and Hammerstein's most beautiful songs, as well as what may be, along with the plots of Allegro, South Pacific, and The King and I, the most serious storyline found in their musicals.
I'm not sure why but I also have found it hard(er) on this board to keep a consistent view of posters and what they normally post. Definitely more of a "take each post as it comes" approach in general.sefton wrote: ↑Fri Jun 03, 2022 8:03 amStruck me as so far out of your normal personality on here that it must be an attempt to be ironic.weegie01 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 02, 2022 11:56 pmSeriously?Happyhooker wrote: ↑Thu Jun 02, 2022 10:36 pm
torq definitely believes in this shit, which is why you have to be careful.
I honestly thought that was such an extreme position no one could possibly think it was real.
Would be believable for Torq on the other hand, that man must be choking on his own bile.
Jenny Agutter (Jessica 6 ) at her most alluringweegie01 wrote: ↑Fri Jun 03, 2022 12:09 pmCarousel is a 1956 American drama fantasy musical film based on the 1945 Rodgers and Hammerstein stage musical of the same name, which in turn was based on Ferenc Molnár's 1909 non-musical play Liliom. The film stars Gordon MacRae and Shirley Jones, and was directed by Henry King. Like the original stage production, the film contains what many critics consider some of Rodgers and Hammerstein's most beautiful songs, as well as what may be, along with the plots of Allegro, South Pacific, and The King and I, the most serious storyline found in their musicals.
Lager & Lime - we don't do cocktails
OK, with you now.Dogbert wrote: ↑Fri Jun 03, 2022 4:46 pmJenny Agutter (Jessica 6 ) at her most alluringweegie01 wrote: ↑Fri Jun 03, 2022 12:09 pmCarousel is a 1956 American drama fantasy musical film based on the 1945 Rodgers and Hammerstein stage musical of the same name, which in turn was based on Ferenc Molnár's 1909 non-musical play Liliom. The film stars Gordon MacRae and Shirley Jones, and was directed by Henry King. Like the original stage production, the film contains what many critics consider some of Rodgers and Hammerstein's most beautiful songs, as well as what may be, along with the plots of Allegro, South Pacific, and The King and I, the most serious storyline found in their musicals.
Fun fact, the movie 'Carousel' featured the original version of 'You'll Never Walk Alone'.
Actually, the stage production had the original version 11 years earlier.
And are there two g’s in Bugger Off?