The Official, one and only, Men's IRB Rugby World Cup 2023 thread

Where goats go to escape
Lobby
Posts: 1805
Joined: Mon Jul 06, 2020 7:34 pm

_Os_ wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 12:36 am
sockwithaticket wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 12:22 am
_Os_ wrote: Sat Oct 14, 2023 10:17 pm Two huge upsets. Never gave the Pumas a chance against Wales, and All Blacks winning was only an outside chance.

Awful performance by me in the tipping comp so far this round, I have scored zero points. All that's keeping me in it is almost no one calling a Pumas win and how far ahead I was.

Pumas have fucked me this RWC. Rated them pre-RWC and got stung for it, gave up on them, only for them to play close to pre-RWC potential (and for Wales to underperform a bit) and they're into a semi, infuriating. Just keep calling them wrong.
There's no way the Pumas turning over Wales is a huge upset. Argentina almost always have ropey/inconsistent form, but are more than capable of turning it on and taking out someone decent and this Wales side is pretty ordinary.
Wales were heavy favourites and in the tipping comp of 400k rugby nerds, 83% backed Wales. Pumas winning was a huge upset.

But then as Torq has been saying for awhile, it's difficult to know what Pumas team is turning up. Could they beat the All Blacks? Yes, because this Pumas team has done so. Would it be a huge upset if they did? Yes, because like Wales the All Blacks will be heavy favourites.
Obviously its never going to happen, but an England Argentina final would be fucking hilarious.
User avatar
Uncle fester
Posts: 4192
Joined: Mon Jun 29, 2020 9:42 pm

sockwithaticket wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 9:30 am
_Os_ wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 12:36 am
sockwithaticket wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 12:22 am

There's no way the Pumas turning over Wales is a huge upset. Argentina almost always have ropey/inconsistent form, but are more than capable of turning it on and taking out someone decent and this Wales side is pretty ordinary.
Wales were heavy favourites and in the tipping comp of 400k rugby nerds, 83% backed Wales. Pumas winning was a huge upset.

But then as Torq has been saying for awhile, it's difficult to know what Pumas team is turning up. Could they beat the All Blacks? Yes, because this Pumas team has done so. Would it be a huge upset if they did? Yes, because like Wales the All Blacks will be heavy favourites.
That is absolutely insane. The only way I can fathom that many people back Wales is if they've barely or never seen Argentina over the last several seasons and/or know nothing about Argentina's tendency to get their shit somewhat together for a world cup.

Argies beating the Kiwis would be a huge upset, a magnitude more so than beating Wales.
Argies losing to England coloured a lot of views.
User avatar
JM2K6
Posts: 9797
Joined: Wed Jul 01, 2020 10:43 am

Argentina were miles off their best throughout the group stage.
Slick
Posts: 11913
Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 2:58 pm

JM2K6 wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 10:52 am Argentina were miles off their best throughout the group stage.
True, but that kind of ignores how bad Wales are. I had very little doubt Argentina were going to win that game
All the money you made will never buy back your soul
User avatar
Sandstorm
Posts: 10884
Joined: Mon Jun 29, 2020 7:05 pm
Location: England

Sandstorm wrote: Tue Oct 10, 2023 10:57 am
inactionman wrote: Tue Oct 10, 2023 10:51 am Robert Kitson showing remarkable insouciance to the mockers' gods:
Northern powerhouses aim to shut south out of World Cup semi-finals
Each quarter-final pits a northern hemisphere group winner against a runner-up from the southern hemisphere. Could a historic lockout be made in France this weekend?
https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2023/ ... -breakdown

You've done it now, Bobby my boy.

Ireland
England
Argentina
SA
3 out of 4. Happy with that.
User avatar
Fonz
Posts: 282
Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 2:46 am
Location: Florida

sockwithaticket wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 9:30 am
_Os_ wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 12:36 am
sockwithaticket wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 12:22 am

There's no way the Pumas turning over Wales is a huge upset. Argentina almost always have ropey/inconsistent form, but are more than capable of turning it on and taking out someone decent and this Wales side is pretty ordinary.
Wales were heavy favourites and in the tipping comp of 400k rugby nerds, 83% backed Wales. Pumas winning was a huge upset.

But then as Torq has been saying for awhile, it's difficult to know what Pumas team is turning up. Could they beat the All Blacks? Yes, because this Pumas team has done so. Would it be a huge upset if they did? Yes, because like Wales the All Blacks will be heavy favourites.
That is absolutely insane. The only way I can fathom that many people back Wales is if they've barely or never seen Argentina over the last several seasons and/or know nothing about Argentina's tendency to get their shit somewhat together for a world cup.

Argies beating the Kiwis would be a huge upset, a magnitude more so than beating Wales.
Speaking only for myself, I was in that 83% (thinking Gatlandball would be a winning formula in this format)…but it’s not like I thought it was a slam dunk by any means; I wouldn’t even say I was all that surprised the Argies won. So taking that metric as gospel may not be advisable.

JM said it well in the match thread (paraphrasing here): Wales is a relatively poor team playing well as of late, Argentina is a good team playing poor as of late.

And, well, the Pumas turned it on.
User avatar
Enzedder
Posts: 3577
Joined: Mon Jun 29, 2020 6:55 pm
Location: Hamilton NZ

Well, hello there stranger. Only lasted a day until the Saffers won but for a fleeting minute or ten...
Rankings.jpg
Rankings.jpg (81.39 KiB) Viewed 1609 times
I drink and I forget things.
User avatar
Paddington Bear
Posts: 5961
Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 3:29 pm
Location: Hertfordshire

Pulled strings at 10 in a 7 a side full contact England v Australia street rugby match in Marseille. I appear to have left a significant amount of skin in the south of France, and it is fair to say I do not envy housekeeping at the hotel I have just checked out of
Old men forget: yet all shall be forgot, But he'll remember with advantages, What feats he did that day
User avatar
Sandstorm
Posts: 10884
Joined: Mon Jun 29, 2020 7:05 pm
Location: England

Paddington Bear wrote: Mon Oct 16, 2023 7:44 am Pulled strings at 10 in a 7 a side full contact England v Australia street rugby match in Marseille. I appear to have left a significant amount of skin in the south of France, and it is fair to say I do not envy housekeeping at the hotel I have just checked out of
Pics please :clap:
User avatar
BnM
Posts: 977
Joined: Wed Jul 01, 2020 2:40 pm

User avatar
BnM
Posts: 977
Joined: Wed Jul 01, 2020 2:40 pm

sockwithaticket
Posts: 8663
Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 11:48 am

Interesting that so many of the top performers are from losing teams.
convoluted
Posts: 516
Joined: Thu Jul 02, 2020 5:00 pm

For the last year or so there has been the tedious and unrelenting sarcastic sneer from certain NZ contributors, spearheaded by the forum's ultimate useless fat cunt poster Guy Smiley, of ":lol: :lol: :lol: learnings ...so many learnings :lol: :lol: :lol: " in snarky reference to that specific constant message coming from the AB's camp.

To educate that group-think group-speak clique, this is what was meant by the 'learnings' :
First, from Rugby Pass:
... But all these qualities that the All Blacks displayed in the quarterfinal were the symptoms of one much bigger factor, which is, that it was a performance that demonstrated New Zealand’s capacity to learn, absorb, adapt and execute.

...the All Blacks ... have shown that once again they are a team that can fix itself, evolve (and) pick themselves up after crushing defeats and come back harder and better equipped ... what really them won a place in the semi-final was the stunning depth of research, analysis and hard work they have put into their defensive structure since they lost the three-Test series to Ireland last year (which) exposed serious weaknesses in the structure of the defensive screen, and the ability of the players to read what was happening around them ... (and thus began) a fundamental rebuild of the defensive structure. But (not) reshaped generally (but rather) reconstructed with the specific goal of being revamped to help the All Blacks beat Ireland at the 2023 World Cup.

... What was so good about (the AB) performance in the quarter-final was the way that, as the game played out, they were able to improve their reading of the Irish attack.
Their system took a bit of time to find itself, as in the first half Bundee Aki was able to score Ireland’s first try by getting on the outside and shrugging off some weak tackling by Rieko Ioane and Shannon Frizell who were all too easily beaten on the inside.

But (then) the All Blacks picked the right cues and were sharper at seeing where Ireland were going and when they were going to try to play the pass out the back ... (after Aki's try) the system cranked into fifth gear and the Irish runners were shut down behind the gainline or they had to cut back into the middle of the field where there were more black defenders waiting with a numeric advantage to pick off the turnover.

“ ... (We had) had to look at the fundamentals of the defensive game within the All Blacks,” says defence coach Scott McLeod.
“A big part of that was that in Super Rugby in New Zealand, they tend to defend the man. They line up on a man and they defend the man, whereas that doesn’t work against teams like Ireland, against Italy and France and we knew we had these teams, more than likely, at this World Cup.
We had to develop our ability to defend the ball so wherever the ball is we have to put people in front of it and what we have learned is that Ireland make you do that over and over again.
“They force you to make a decision about the ball and that was the most pleasing aspect [of the quarter-final victory], we have built the players’ skill sets from last year and we have learned some really hard lessons and then against Ireland, for the majority of the time we got that right.”

... The All Blacks were torn apart by Ireland last year but not in Paris when it mattered, and the victory was a tribute to the strength of their analysis and rugby intelligence ...


Samer-same from the NZ Herald:
Gregor Paul in Paris
... Maybe the first half wasn’t perfect, but in the last 40 minutes of their epic quarter-final, the All Blacks produced a defensive effort that was 15 months in the making, by almost perfectly executing a system that was built specifically with Ireland in mind.
Of all the things the All Blacks learned in their 2022 series defeat to Ireland, the most important was that their defensive system wasn’t good enough, tight enough or cohesive enough to beat the best teams.

The Irish exposed New Zealand in July last year as a team that offered up too much space, and who were vulnerable to any opponent who could get the ball wide and attack them close to the touchlines.
Ireland pulled the All Blacks this way and that a year ago - tormented them with their ability to play the ball out the back and bring captain Johnny Sexton back into play via his favoured looping run.
...It was a painful lesson for Ian Foster’s team - one that cost two assistants their jobs and which led to defence coach Scott McLeod rebuilding the defensive structure, all with the view of unveiling the finished product against Ireland in the World Cup quarter-finals.

...the ultimate test would be seeing how well the team could shut down Ireland. Would they be able to read an Irish attack that has only improved since last July by using variations of similar plays more subtly?
Would they be able to stop Ireland endlessly playing the ball out the back door to put Mack Hansen, James Lowe or Sexton - all of whom love attacking wide on arcing runs - into the sort of space they used to deadly effect in New Zealand?
Would a system designed specifically to beat Ireland prove to be well enough considered and then well enough executed to do what it was designed to do?
... (Last year) we had some shoddy defence when we were defending their outstanding attacking system,” said Jordie Barrett.
“We had some wide spaces, and they picked us off all game with their short passing.
“We were a lot tighter this game, and we were happy to let them get to the edges a bit more and put a bit of pressure on there.”

... by the second half, the All Blacks were picking Ireland’s movements more instinctively, and they were good enough to get to the loop-runners early and hit them behind the gain line.
Time and again, Barrett in particular, but also Anton Lienert-Brown when he came off the bench, judged brilliantly when Ireland were going to throw the ball out the back door, and they didn’t miss with their tackles either.
It frustrated Ireland, made them a little panicky, and they lost some of their attacking shape, even though they were dominating possession.

But the ultimate test to New Zealand’s newfound defensive smarts was the way they successfully held Ireland out for 37 phases in the last three minutes ...
User avatar
Guy Smiley
Posts: 6014
Joined: Mon Jun 29, 2020 7:52 pm

I'm so totally in your head, pulling the levers and pushing the buttons.
Slick
Posts: 11913
Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 2:58 pm

Not sure I agree with these new warm up games for the finalists
All the money you made will never buy back your soul
User avatar
Paddington Bear
Posts: 5961
Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 3:29 pm
Location: Hertfordshire

Slick wrote: Tue Oct 17, 2023 7:36 am Not sure I agree with these new warm up games for the finalists
Disagree, as discussed at length the draw has left us and Argentina a little undercooked, so it’s good to give us both a chance to try things before the big dance
Old men forget: yet all shall be forgot, But he'll remember with advantages, What feats he did that day
Deveron Boy
Posts: 139
Joined: Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:51 pm

I am guessing its the same clown committee responsible for the Original draw now in charge of ref appointments?



on what planet after his performance on sunday was Bin the right man for the Saffas again? Luke Pearce or Nika Amashukeli don't get quarter final or semi-final? Fking twats
Last edited by Deveron Boy on Tue Oct 17, 2023 2:39 pm, edited 2 times in total.
User avatar
Insane_Homer
Posts: 5389
Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 3:14 pm
Location: Leafy Surrey

Deveron Boy wrote: Tue Oct 17, 2023 12:28 pm I am guessing its the same clown committee responsible for the Original draw now in charge of ref appointments?



on what planet after his performance on sunday was Bin the right man for the Safes again? Luke Pearce or Nika Amashukeli don't get quarter final ore semi-final? Fking twats
For the same reason he got the SA v France game after the Ireland performance, a keewee ref to determine who the keewees meet next :crazy:
“Facts are meaningless. You could use facts to prove anything that's even remotely true.”
westport
Posts: 766
Joined: Thu Jul 02, 2020 7:45 am

Argentina v New Zealand
Date: Friday, October 20
Kick off: 21:00 local (20:00 BST, 19:00 GMT)
Venue: Stade de France, Saint-Denis
Referee: Angus Gardner (Australia)
Assistant Referees: Nic Berry (Australia), Karl Dickson (England)
TMO: Ben Whitehouse (Wales)

England v South Africa
Date: Saturday, October 21
Kick off: 21:00 local (20:00 BST, 19:00 GMT)
Venue: Stade de France, Saint-Denis
Referee: Ben O’Keeffe (New Zealand)
Assistant Referees: Andrew Brace (Ireland), Paul Williams (New Zealand)
TMO: Brendon Pickerill (New Zealand)
topofthemoon
Posts: 289
Joined: Wed Jul 01, 2020 11:22 pm

Angus Gardner & Ben O'Keeffe will be the 15th & 16th referees to take charge of a men's RWC semi-final.

O'Keeffe is the 1st Kiwi to ref a semi since Steve Walsh in 2007.

Gardner is the 1st Aussie to ref a semi since Kerry Fitzgerald in 1991.

Australia - 3 RWC semis refereed;
England - 2;
France - 2;
Ireland - 2;
New Zealand - 3;
Scotland - 3;
South Africa - 2;
Wales - 3.
User avatar
Uncle fester
Posts: 4192
Joined: Mon Jun 29, 2020 9:42 pm

topofthemoon wrote: Tue Oct 17, 2023 6:51 pm Angus Gardner & Ben O'Keeffe will be the 15th & 16th referees to take charge of a men's RWC semi-final.

O'Keeffe is the 1st Kiwi to ref a semi since Steve Walsh in 2007.

Gardner is the 1st Aussie to ref a semi since Kerry Fitzgerald in 1991.

Australia - 3 RWC semis refereed;
England - 2;
France - 2;
Ireland - 2;
New Zealand - 3;
Scotland - 3;
South Africa - 2;
Wales - 3.
https://x.com/topofthemoongw/status/171 ... tRYAHubiTQ

Gardner is a break of recent trends.
User avatar
Enzedder
Posts: 3577
Joined: Mon Jun 29, 2020 6:55 pm
Location: Hamilton NZ

Insane_Homer wrote: Tue Oct 17, 2023 1:57 pm
Deveron Boy wrote: Tue Oct 17, 2023 12:28 pm I am guessing its the same clown committee responsible for the Original draw now in charge of ref appointments?



on what planet after his performance on sunday was Bin the right man for the Safes again? Luke Pearce or Nika Amashukeli don't get quarter final ore semi-final? Fking twats
For the same reason he got the SA v France game after the Ireland performance, a keewee ref to determine who the keewees meet next :crazy:
Ben would be more excited if NZ lost and he had a chance at the final.
I drink and I forget things.
topofthemoon
Posts: 289
Joined: Wed Jul 01, 2020 11:22 pm

Uncle fester wrote: Tue Oct 17, 2023 7:57 pm
topofthemoon wrote: Tue Oct 17, 2023 6:51 pm Angus Gardner & Ben O'Keeffe will be the 15th & 16th referees to take charge of a men's RWC semi-final.

O'Keeffe is the 1st Kiwi to ref a semi since Steve Walsh in 2007.

Gardner is the 1st Aussie to ref a semi since Kerry Fitzgerald in 1991.

Australia - 3 RWC semis refereed;
England - 2;
France - 2;
Ireland - 2;
New Zealand - 3;
Scotland - 3;
South Africa - 2;
Wales - 3.
https://x.com/topofthemoongw/status/171 ... tRYAHubiTQ

Gardner is a break of recent trends.
Aye, my guess is he's the number 5 ref and taking the slot that should have been Peypers's. Means that Peyper has been bombed out of taking charge of a semi in back to back RWCs - injury this time and his photo with Welsh fans last time.
User avatar
Insane_Homer
Posts: 5389
Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 3:14 pm
Location: Leafy Surrey

“Facts are meaningless. You could use facts to prove anything that's even remotely true.”
User avatar
Sandstorm
Posts: 10884
Joined: Mon Jun 29, 2020 7:05 pm
Location: England

topofthemoon wrote: Tue Oct 17, 2023 8:42 pm
Aye, my guess is he's the number 5 ref and taking the slot that should have been Peypers's. Means that Peyper has been bombed out of taking charge of a semi in back to back RWCs - injury this time and his photo with Welsh fans last time.
Forgot about that!! Idiot. :lol:
User avatar
BnM
Posts: 977
Joined: Wed Jul 01, 2020 2:40 pm

Not exactly controversial picks

User avatar
Uncle fester
Posts: 4192
Joined: Mon Jun 29, 2020 9:42 pm

Sandstorm wrote: Wed Oct 18, 2023 9:31 am
topofthemoon wrote: Tue Oct 17, 2023 8:42 pm
Aye, my guess is he's the number 5 ref and taking the slot that should have been Peypers's. Means that Peyper has been bombed out of taking charge of a semi in back to back RWCs - injury this time and his photo with Welsh fans last time.
Forgot about that!! Idiot. :lol:
Remind me what this was?
User avatar
average joe
Posts: 1875
Joined: Wed Jul 01, 2020 5:46 am
Location: kuvukiland

Uncle fester wrote: Wed Oct 18, 2023 9:38 pm
Sandstorm wrote: Wed Oct 18, 2023 9:31 am
topofthemoon wrote: Tue Oct 17, 2023 8:42 pm
Aye, my guess is he's the number 5 ref and taking the slot that should have been Peypers's. Means that Peyper has been bombed out of taking charge of a semi in back to back RWCs - injury this time and his photo with Welsh fans last time.
Forgot about that!! Idiot. :lol:
Remind me what this was?
Image
User avatar
Uncle fester
Posts: 4192
Joined: Mon Jun 29, 2020 9:42 pm

Oh god yeah
User avatar
Grandpa
Posts: 2266
Joined: Tue Oct 06, 2020 2:23 pm
Location: Kiwi abroad

BnM wrote: Wed Oct 18, 2023 8:48 pm Not exactly controversial picks

Kiss of death... Argentina v England final then!
User avatar
Sandstorm
Posts: 10884
Joined: Mon Jun 29, 2020 7:05 pm
Location: England

Grandpa wrote: Thu Oct 19, 2023 12:52 pm
BnM wrote: Wed Oct 18, 2023 8:48 pm Not exactly controversial picks

Kiss of death... Argentina v England final then!
:lol:
Gumboot
Posts: 8025
Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 9:17 am

Grandpa wrote: Thu Oct 19, 2023 12:52 pmKiss of death... Argentina v England final then!
Round One all over again. :lol:
User avatar
Paddington Bear
Posts: 5961
Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 3:29 pm
Location: Hertfordshire

Out both evenings farcically. Any Brits know how quickly ITV get the full games onto ITV X?
Old men forget: yet all shall be forgot, But he'll remember with advantages, What feats he did that day
User avatar
Enzedder
Posts: 3577
Joined: Mon Jun 29, 2020 6:55 pm
Location: Hamilton NZ

Paddington Bear wrote: Fri Oct 20, 2023 2:30 pm Out both evenings farcically. Any Brits know how quickly ITV get the full games onto ITV X?
Huge advantage of our time-slot. 8am when you're retired is perfect.
I drink and I forget things.
Gumboot
Posts: 8025
Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 9:17 am

Enzedder wrote: Fri Oct 20, 2023 5:12 pm
Paddington Bear wrote: Fri Oct 20, 2023 2:30 pm Out both evenings farcically. Any Brits know how quickly ITV get the full games onto ITV X?
Huge advantage of our time-slot. 8am when you're retired is perfect.
Yep, perfect viewing time in NZ.
User avatar
Sandstorm
Posts: 10884
Joined: Mon Jun 29, 2020 7:05 pm
Location: England

Paddington Bear wrote: Fri Oct 20, 2023 2:30 pm Out both evenings farcically. Any Brits know how quickly ITV get the full games onto ITV X?
1 hour
Gumboot
Posts: 8025
Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 9:17 am

The second semi is also at 8am. Thanks, France!
User avatar
laurent
Posts: 2128
Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 6:36 am

Gumboot wrote: Fri Oct 20, 2023 11:46 pm The second semi is also at 8am. Thanks, France!
That's prime time here
petej
Posts: 2457
Joined: Thu Nov 04, 2021 10:41 am
Location: Gwent

I have to admit I am massively pissed off with France and Ireland. Wankers. You batter shitty England repeatedly then get to the big occasion and blow your load early.
User avatar
JM2K6
Posts: 9797
Joined: Wed Jul 01, 2020 10:43 am

You shouldn't get mad at psychological weakness. They can't help it.
Post Reply