I like neeps wrote: ↑Thu Aug 31, 2023 3:01 pm
topofthemoon wrote: ↑Thu Aug 31, 2023 1:01 pm
I like neeps wrote: ↑Thu Aug 31, 2023 10:25 am
Doing the draw so far in advance of a rwc is a nonsense but as nonsensical is suggesting seedings take into account commercial factors. That is pure conspiracy
I think the point on that is that the draw was scheduled for December 2020 and intended to be based on the seedings at December 2020. Despite Covid they opted to still do the draw in December 2020 (rather than posptpone for, say 6 months, and end up with the same timings as the draw for the 2019 RWC) but decided that 'in the interests of fairness' seedings should be based on the rankings at 1 January 2020 - which were effectively the rankings from immediately after the RWC final in 2019 - as not all teams had had a chance to play any Tests since the last RWC.
The only seeded team that hadn't played any Tests since the 2019 World Cup? Japan. So the draw was fudged to protect 1 team's status as 2nd seeds who, when they have subsequently played Tests, have lost 6 full points from their World Rugby ranking and slumped to 14th in the world.
If the December 2020 rankings had been used the only differences to now would have been Ireland and England swapping places as 1st & 2nd seeds and Fiji & Australia swapping places as 2nd & 3rd seeds. So while it still wouldn't have been entirely reflective of the latest positions it would have been closer than what was used, which was based on the rankings 4 years ago.
Don't think South Africa played? Looks like Arg, Aus, NZ had a weird Tri series. Going to guess most tier 2 sides didn't play either - why leave them out?
Clearly, ignoring that year for rankings is the fairest way of dealing with a global pandemic.
If Scotland want to be ranked higher than Japan, how about beat them in the world cup?
Yeah, apologies SA didn't play the either in 2020, however that made no difference to which band they were in for seeding. In fact they were still ranked number 1 in the world at the time of the draw.
Only the 12 qualified sides would impact the seedings so Tier 1 + Japan and Fiji. No impact from any other Tier 2/3 sides playing or not playing.
At December the 2 seeded sides who had moved down a band or bands were Wales (from 1 to 3) having played a complete Six Nations and Autumn Nations Series and Japan (from 2 to 3) having not played a game.
After complaints about how early the draw was for the 2015 RWC (and the Aus, Eng, Wal pool of death it lead to) the draw for the 2019 tournament was moved back 6 months later to May 2017. So why was the draw for the 2023 World Cup not already set for at least the same (ie May 2021)?
They had 3 options. Stick with December 2020 rankings. Postpone (possibly to end up in line with 2019 draw timings?) Or go back to the rankings coming out of the 2019 RWC (with the additional weightings of RWC fixtures having maximum effect on seedings 4 years later).
When you've already had complaints that a draw 3 years prior is too early, brought this back to 2.5 years for the previous tournament, how does the best solution to everything that went on end up being extending it out to 4 years?