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Re: Dinghy people / immigration
Posted: Tue Jun 06, 2023 9:52 am
by Paddington Bear
Tackle it at source. What will keep Albanians at home?
Not allowing them to stay when they've arrived here illegally. Britain is seen as a soft touch, hence why they travel through Schengen to get here.
Re: Dinghy people / immigration
Posted: Tue Jun 06, 2023 10:12 am
by tabascoboy
USA:
So far this fiscal year (through April 2023), immigration judges have issued removal and voluntary departure orders in 39.8% of completed cases, totalling 135,284 deportation orders.
This deterrent ( and a Wall!) doesn't stop hundreds of thousands from Latin America and elsewhere trying to illegally enter the country every year.
There has to be more of an answer than just "stop the boats" and "send them back"
Re: Dinghy people / immigration
Posted: Tue Jun 06, 2023 10:35 am
by Tichtheid
Regarding one specific point, Albanian women make up 88% of successful applicants from that country, whilst 11% are male.
This from The Migration Observatory at Uni of Oxford
https://migrationobservatory.ox.ac.uk/r ... cent-data/
Re: Boat people / immigration
Posted: Tue Jun 06, 2023 10:43 am
by Ymx
sockwithaticket wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 9:51 am
Ymx wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 9:40 am
sockwithaticket wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 9:29 am
One problem you'd have with putting them to work is sufficient supervision to ensure that some of them don't just slip off. I also don't trust governments not to implement such work parties in a way that wouldn't undercut the wages and employment of Brits already doing those things for councils.
Maybe trafficking is the wrong word as it somewhat suggests people being moved against their will, but it absolutely is gangs of the unscrupulous, if not outright criminals, facilitating the movement of the 'boat people'.
The supervision piece could be handled by the existing council workers. I don’t see that as a problem. They’d need supervisors with know how. And the existing guys would then have added seniority. And finally our potholes would be patched and our walkways cleared of nettles
I guess however, what happens when someone refuses to work. Lose their allowance?
I like your optimism, but I can't help but think back to what I've seen of old prison work parties in the States. What chiefly kept prisoners from running off was either being chained to each other or the presence of several armed corrections officers who would happily shoot them if it looked like someone was thinking about running off.
Slight difference being that these guys are free, and free to move about in public when not working, and will always return to their free accommodation and where they get their allowance.
It’s not quite the same.
Re: Dinghy people / immigration
Posted: Tue Jun 06, 2023 10:55 am
by tc27
Surely its obvious people who have travelled through Western Europe to get to the UK are economic migrants not refugees. Its physically difficult to stop people coming here or even crossing the channel - the only choices are let them all in or to increase state capacity to process them as quickly as possible. In my mind a working age man from Albania (for example) could be summarily deported if they enter illegally.
I like to think I am a compassionate person but I do also understand that entry to a country and the right to live and work their must be governed by laws otherwise you really make citizenship meaningless.
Re: Dinghy people / immigration
Posted: Tue Jun 06, 2023 10:55 am
by TheNatalShark
Ymx wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 9:51 am
It's not about constructive thoughts, it's just simple bile and whining. Just whine blaming others and hope the problem goes away.
Furthermore, this thread is exactly supposed to be about being constructive, and not just whining and blaming the Tories.
Rubbish, people like you take the liberty of cherry picking a small number from a very specific time to distract to say "Look, most of them are Albanians or the sorts! Not actual refugees!" Apart from, of course, that little more than half of the Albanians applications were being accepted (with most accepted being women and children) - but you already know this.
And yes, our policy decisions now actively cower away from tackling the governance issues in places like Albania by plugging our ears and pretending issues on our doorstep don't exist and are for the "continentals" to sort out. It's literally the pillar objective of orgs like the EU in the Balkans, but something something Germans want to rule Europe so we shouldn't engage in that.
When faced with a choice at nearly every opportunity people with your "constructive" criticism have voted to put tripe in charge and abandon actual multilateralism.
You're not unique. You just want somewhere here to vent in the hope you won't get called out cheering on the people and policies in place contributing to the current state. You've got no interest in being told "But you voted for this, and are just asking for more of the same?" This isn't about the bored's opinions or interest on constructive views.
Re: Boat people / immigration
Posted: Tue Jun 06, 2023 10:58 am
by I like neeps
Ymx wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 7:45 am
petej wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 7:37 am
Our government is a bad faith actor with no intention of solving anything but this is a useful way of getting support.
I don’t think that’s true. The Rwanda scheme was not something which fits that narrative.If anything, it was too excessive. And I’m sure you’d agree our Home Secretary’s did want it to work.
But I’m not here to defend the government, except to hope for a way forward from here, and hope for constructive thoughts.
Lol, the Rwanda scheme is exactly the sort of thing that fits the narrative. It cost 120m to Rwanda and 30k per immigrant, and the plan was for a hotel and some new build households. Not scalable for 40,000 crossings, obviously.
The solution is Pan-European cooperation which tbf Sunak is doing but they make sure to talk rwanda and prison barges as much as possible.
Re: Dinghy people / immigration
Posted: Tue Jun 06, 2023 11:52 am
by C69
Ymx wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 9:51 am
It's not about constructive thoughts, it's just simple bile and whining. Just whine blaming others and hope the problem goes away.
Furthermore, this thread is exactly supposed to be about being constructive, and not just whining and blaming the Tories.
Tell us why the government are not to blame for this tsunami of immigrants.
Re: Boat people / immigration
Posted: Tue Jun 06, 2023 12:03 pm
by Ymx
I like neeps wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 10:58 am
Ymx wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 7:45 am
petej wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 7:37 am
Our government is a bad faith actor with no intention of solving anything but this is a useful way of getting support.
I don’t think that’s true. The Rwanda scheme was not something which fits that narrative.If anything, it was too excessive. And I’m sure you’d agree our Home Secretary’s did want it to work.
But I’m not here to defend the government, except to hope for a way forward from here, and hope for constructive thoughts.
Lol, the Rwanda scheme is exactly the sort of thing that fits the narrative. It cost 120m to Rwanda and 30k per immigrant, and the plan was for a hotel and some new build households. Not scalable for 40,000 crossings, obviously.
The solution is Pan-European cooperation which tbf Sunak is doing but they make sure to talk rwanda and prison barges as much as possible.
I think it was largely expected to act as a deterrent to those leaving France, rather than expecting the same volumes through. And I’m pretty sure the volumes would have dropped drastically.
The pan-European cooperation is difficult as basically why would they? If these economic migrants are attempting to leave your country, why are you going to want to stop them.
If we could get a deal to return all dinghys directly to France we would bite at the chance. But they’d not agree to that I’m sure.
The Australian method seems to have been the only successful strategy.
Re: Dinghy people / immigration
Posted: Tue Jun 06, 2023 12:08 pm
by Ymx
C69 wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 11:52 am
Ymx wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 9:51 am
It's not about constructive thoughts, it's just simple bile and whining. Just whine blaming others and hope the problem goes away.
Furthermore, this thread is exactly supposed to be about being constructive, and not just whining and blaming the Tories.
Tell us why the government are not to blame for this tsunami of immigrants.
They didn’t cause this problem, but they certainly haven’t fixed it either.
Re: Dinghy people / immigration
Posted: Tue Jun 06, 2023 12:23 pm
by Ymx
TheNatalShark wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 10:55 am
Ymx wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 9:51 am
It's not about constructive thoughts, it's just simple bile and whining. Just whine blaming others and hope the problem goes away.
Furthermore, this thread is exactly supposed to be about being constructive, and not just whining and blaming the Tories.
Rubbish, people like you take the liberty of cherry picking a small number from a very specific time to distract to say "Look, most of them are Albanians or the sorts! Not actual refugees!" Apart from, of course, that little more than half of the Albanians applications were being accepted (with most accepted being women and children) - but you already know this.
And yes, our policy decisions now actively cower away from tackling the governance issues in places like Albania by plugging our ears and pretending issues on our doorstep don't exist and are for the "continentals" to sort out. It's literally the pillar objective of orgs like the EU in the Balkans, but something something Germans want to rule Europe so we shouldn't engage in that.
When faced with a choice at nearly every opportunity people with your "constructive" criticism have voted to put tripe in charge and abandon actual multilateralism.
You're not unique. You just want somewhere here to vent in the hope you won't get called out cheering on the people and policies in place contributing to the current state. You've got no interest in being told "But you voted for this, and are just asking for more of the same?" This isn't about the bored's opinions or interest on constructive views.
I don’t identify with this like you want me to, but fair play on a quality rant.
Re: Dinghy people / immigration
Posted: Tue Jun 06, 2023 12:27 pm
by assfly
For anyone with a real interest in this issue, I'd recommend the book My Fourth Time, We Drowned by Sally Hayden.
It paints a much deeper picture on why and how people cross the Sahara and use Libya as a launching point.
Re: Dinghy people / immigration
Posted: Tue Jun 06, 2023 12:43 pm
by Hal Jordan
Well, whatever your opinion, I'm sure we all agree the Home Secretary is an absolute dumpster fire of a human being.
Re: Dinghy people / immigration
Posted: Tue Jun 06, 2023 12:50 pm
by Biffer
1. We need immigration. There aren't enough people in the UK available to do a lot of jobs we need and that's only going to get worse as demographics change in the next few decades. The demographics aren't really within our control (we can't create new 18 year olds at the snap of your fingers) so we either have them or we watch our public services and industry get worse and worse.
2. Government is deliberately under funding processing of asylum claims to make the problem worse than it is, and in doing so it is deliberately exploiting some very vulnerable people. How do you get rid of people who are not here legally? Process them quickly. That'd be cheaper than putting them in hotels for 18 months. But the purpose of putting them in hotels and not processing them is to create the problem. Our government, our choice.
3. The UK doesn't have the slightest clue who is in the country. We check passports on the way in, but not on the way out, so we have no idea whether or not people leave. This would cost billions to change; massive increase in staff, new infrastructure at every port and airport in the country. But if it's not done, we will, never, ever be in control of who is in the country, no matter what other systems and processes are put in place. Our choice.
4. We have certain legal obligations under international law on human rights and refugees. If we don't meet our rights then there are countries out there who will do a hell of a lot worse. We can either be an advanced democratic democracy or not. Our choice.
Re: Dinghy people / immigration
Posted: Tue Jun 06, 2023 1:02 pm
by C69
Ymx wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 12:08 pm
C69 wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 11:52 am
Ymx wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 9:51 am
Furthermore, this thread is exactly supposed to be about being constructive, and not just whining and blaming the Tories.
Tell us why the government are not to blame for this tsunami of immigrants.
They didn’t cause this problem, but they certainly haven’t fixed it either.
That's utter bollocks, and I will take a random issue, one of many that the have caused.
There has been loads of complaints recently about students bringing their relatives on a visa etc.
This has massively increased over the last few years.
It was actually government policy to grant a visa to relatives as a sweetener to students to encourage more money to Universities etc
There are actual government funded drives to push this and Boris used this as a massive carrot to entice enrollment at UK Universities.
Re: Dinghy people / immigration
Posted: Tue Jun 06, 2023 1:18 pm
by Paddington Bear
We need immigration. There aren't enough people in the UK available to do a lot of jobs we need
This is only true based on the wages paid for the roles. Large scale immigration is a major, if not the major, cause of stagnant wages, lack of work related training and low productivity growth in this country. Hence why customer facing British businesses are so keen for more, it's easier to get someone new to work minimum wage and live in shit conditions than it is to pay them better and invest in their training. Hence also why the British economy tends to grow at pretty much the same rate as the population grows.
Re: Dinghy people / immigration
Posted: Tue Jun 06, 2023 1:23 pm
by sockwithaticket
Paddington Bear wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 1:18 pm
We need immigration. There aren't enough people in the UK available to do a lot of jobs we need
This is only true based on the wages paid for the roles. Large scale immigration is a major, if not the major, cause of stagnant wages, lack of work related training and low productivity growth in this country. Hence why customer facing British businesses are so keen for more, it's easier to get someone new to work minimum wage and live in shit conditions than it is to pay them better and invest in their training. Hence also why the British economy tends to grow at pretty much the same rate as the population grows.
Amen!
Re: Dinghy people / immigration
Posted: Tue Jun 06, 2023 1:25 pm
by Biffer
Paddington Bear wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 1:18 pm
We need immigration. There aren't enough people in the UK available to do a lot of jobs we need
This is only true based on the wages paid for the roles. Large scale immigration is a major, if not the major, cause of stagnant wages, lack of work related training and low productivity growth in this country. Hence why customer facing British businesses are so keen for more, it's easier to get someone new to work minimum wage and live in shit conditions than it is to pay them better and invest in their training. Hence also why the British economy tends to grow at pretty much the same rate as the population grows.
Nah, it's numbers as well. If Immigration were the cause of stagnant wages we'd have piles of unemployed british people.
Re: Dinghy people / immigration
Posted: Tue Jun 06, 2023 2:12 pm
by Paddington Bear
Biffer wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 1:25 pm
Paddington Bear wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 1:18 pm
We need immigration. There aren't enough people in the UK available to do a lot of jobs we need
This is only true based on the wages paid for the roles. Large scale immigration is a major, if not the major, cause of stagnant wages, lack of work related training and low productivity growth in this country. Hence why customer facing British businesses are so keen for more, it's easier to get someone new to work minimum wage and live in shit conditions than it is to pay them better and invest in their training. Hence also why the British economy tends to grow at pretty much the same rate as the population grows.
Nah, it's numbers as well. If Immigration were the cause of stagnant wages we'd have piles of unemployed british people.
Not sure that follows at all. More low paid workers = less need for technological/productive change = stable-ish employment for those already in it but at stagnant wage levels and often leaving people underemployed compared to their capabilities/ambitions. Jobs aren't being 'stolen', they're just going nowhere. Britain has some of the lowest levels of automation in the developed world.
We don't
need bar staff/manual car washers etc to run an economy (two examples pulled out my arse, not intended to be scientific, but as for the first can we all at least agree to close the economy to Australians until we work out what the hell is going on), it is just easier to employ more of them than invest for any business, hence why they lobby for more and more people willing to work for shit wages in shit conditions in shit housing.
Re: Boat people / immigration
Posted: Tue Jun 06, 2023 2:18 pm
by I like neeps
Ymx wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 12:03 pm
I like neeps wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 10:58 am
Ymx wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 7:45 am
I don’t think that’s true. The Rwanda scheme was not something which fits that narrative.If anything, it was too excessive. And I’m sure you’d agree our Home Secretary’s did want it to work.
But I’m not here to defend the government, except to hope for a way forward from here, and hope for constructive thoughts.
Lol, the Rwanda scheme is exactly the sort of thing that fits the narrative. It cost 120m to Rwanda and 30k per immigrant, and the plan was for a hotel and some new build households. Not scalable for 40,000 crossings, obviously.
The solution is Pan-European cooperation which tbf Sunak is doing but they make sure to talk rwanda and prison barges as much as possible.
I think it was largely expected to act as a deterrent to those leaving France, rather than expecting the same volumes through. And I’m pretty sure the volumes would have dropped drastically.
The pan-European cooperation is difficult as basically why would they? If these economic migrants are attempting to leave your country, why are you going to want to stop them.
If we could get a deal to return all dinghys directly to France we would bite at the chance. But they’d not agree to that I’m sure.
The Australian method seems to have been the only successful strategy.
Pretty fundamental misunderstanding of the problem here I'm afraid. Every European country has a problem with migrants. The countries with the largest problems are Italy/Greece and. It's in everyone in the EUs interests to stop migrants in Africa/Asia and if not Turkey - see the amount of problems the EU governments have with Erdogan over this.
France takes far more refugees than the UK for example. It's hardly they're forwarding them to us.
Re: Dinghy people / immigration
Posted: Tue Jun 06, 2023 2:24 pm
by tc27
Paddington Bear wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 2:12 pm
Biffer wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 1:25 pm
Paddington Bear wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 1:18 pm
This is only true based on the wages paid for the roles. Large scale immigration is a major, if not the major, cause of stagnant wages, lack of work related training and low productivity growth in this country. Hence why customer facing British businesses are so keen for more, it's easier to get someone new to work minimum wage and live in shit conditions than it is to pay them better and invest in their training. Hence also why the British economy tends to grow at pretty much the same rate as the population grows.
Nah, it's numbers as well. If Immigration were the cause of stagnant wages we'd have piles of unemployed british people.
Not sure that follows at all. More low paid workers = less need for technological/productive change = stable-ish employment for those already in it but at stagnant wage levels and often leaving people underemployed compared to their capabilities/ambitions. Jobs aren't being 'stolen', they're just going nowhere. Britain has some of the lowest levels of automation in the developed world.
We don't
need bar staff/manual car washers etc to run an economy (two examples pulled out my arse, not intended to be scientific, but as for the first can we all at least agree to close the economy to Australians until we work out what the hell is going on), it is just easier to employ more of them than invest for any business, hence why they lobby for more and more people willing to work for shit wages in shit conditions in shit housing.
It also a demographic pyramid scheme - I mean if we were the sort of country that was building a million new houses every year and high speed rail/transport links everywhere it would not matter but the current chosen course seems to be a Island wide retirement home for boomers
Re: Dinghy people / immigration
Posted: Tue Jun 06, 2023 2:40 pm
by Paddington Bear
tc27 wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 2:24 pm
Paddington Bear wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 2:12 pm
Biffer wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 1:25 pm
Nah, it's numbers as well. If Immigration were the cause of stagnant wages we'd have piles of unemployed british people.
Not sure that follows at all. More low paid workers = less need for technological/productive change = stable-ish employment for those already in it but at stagnant wage levels and often leaving people underemployed compared to their capabilities/ambitions. Jobs aren't being 'stolen', they're just going nowhere. Britain has some of the lowest levels of automation in the developed world.
We don't
need bar staff/manual car washers etc to run an economy (two examples pulled out my arse, not intended to be scientific, but as for the first can we all at least agree to close the economy to Australians until we work out what the hell is going on), it is just easier to employ more of them than invest for any business, hence why they lobby for more and more people willing to work for shit wages in shit conditions in shit housing.
It also a demographic pyramid scheme - I mean if we were the sort of country that was building a million new houses every year and high speed rail/transport links everywhere it would not matter but the current chosen course seems to be a Island wide retirement home for boomers
Yes - and people never seem to account for the fact that immigrants get old too
Re: Dinghy people / immigration
Posted: Tue Jun 06, 2023 7:57 pm
by Ymx
Sounds like the French are putting in more effort than I thought.
Violent clashes with asylum seekers on French beaches will result in an officer’s death, Border Force fears
Hugo Gye - 5h ago
Patrol officers risk being killed in France as encounters with asylum seekers grow more violent, Border Force insiders fear.
The proportion of people trying to cross the Channel in dangerous small boats who are intercepted by the police before they can take to the water has grown in recent months.
That is believed to be a result of the French authorities getting greater resources, including from the UK Government – as well as a crackdown on TikTok videos promoting Channel crossings.
The video app now automatically removes clips that contain certain keywords known to feature in the ads posted by people smugglers who are trying to recruit migrants for the €3,000 journey to the UK.
But the increased likelihood that an attempt to cross will be unsuccessful has apparently made some migrants – who now need to make four or five tries before they actually reach England – increasingly desperate.
A Border Force source said: “It’s only a matter of time before an officer is killed.” Some asylum seekers carry knives and other weapons to prevent officers from stopping them taking to boats and launching into the Channel.
The French authorities – who are now joined by British officers on their patrols, although the UK representatives cannot get involved directly in operations – are attempting to disrupt the organised gangs which are seen as being behind the surge in crossings over the past few years.
Undercover police now visit service stations, hotels and lay-bys sometimes as far away as the border with Belgium to pick up migrants who are waiting to cross the Channel.
Re: Boat people / immigration
Posted: Wed Jun 07, 2023 7:51 am
by mat the expat
sockwithaticket wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 9:15 am
We should be doing much more to target the trafficking gangs creating the small boat problem.
Not to get all tinfoil, but shirley, this a simple game considering all the intelligence that's out there
Lack of intent is the issue
As for refugees - they will always come to a first world country. No point worrying about it beyond being humane.
If you don't like it, move to a lower tier country
Re: Boat people / immigration
Posted: Wed Jun 07, 2023 8:42 am
by TB63
mat the expat wrote: ↑Wed Jun 07, 2023 7:51 am
sockwithaticket wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 9:15 am
We should be doing much more to target the trafficking gangs creating the small boat problem.
Not to get all tinfoil, but shirley, this a simple game considering all the intelligence that's out there
Lack of intent is the issue
As for refugees - they will always come to a first world country. No point worrying about it beyond being humane.
If you don't like it, move to a lower tier country
You did!.....
Re: Dinghy people / immigration
Posted: Wed Jun 07, 2023 8:55 am
by laurent
Send the Dinghies to Kherson please.
Re: Boat people / immigration
Posted: Wed Jun 07, 2023 11:47 am
by Rhubarb & Custard
mat the expat wrote: ↑Wed Jun 07, 2023 7:51 am
As for refugees - they will always come to a first world country.
Can that be true?
Even if you include Turkey as a first world nation the overall burden would surely still fall more on the likes of Pakistan and Ethiopia
Re: Boat people / immigration
Posted: Thu Jun 08, 2023 4:58 am
by mat the expat
TB63 wrote: ↑Wed Jun 07, 2023 8:42 am
You did!.....
Touche!
But, plenty of first and second wave immigrants here who love to pull the Ladder up after themselves - would you believe the architect of your Rwanda solution is one?
Even became PM here
Re: Dinghy people / immigration
Posted: Thu Jun 08, 2023 5:19 am
by Ymx
Why aren’t the dinghy purchases traceable?
Surely this can be easily traced from the seller. Who is ordering about one huge dinghy a day.
Re: Boat people / immigration
Posted: Thu Jun 08, 2023 1:20 pm
by earl the beaver
Ymx wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 6:25 am
I’ll open.
There are people with a genuine need, but I don’t think the majority of these boat people who throw their ids/passports away are here for the right reasons.
I feel these are mostly young men who are sold on the idea of a paid for stint. Many of them are bad actors, and the reason they aren’t staying in France is because they only get tents over there.
I personally hope we have a system where we open an office in France for processing them. Those who still venture over on boats should be able to be returned to France for processing.
For those who are over here currently, rather than have them sitting around in hotels getting bored, we should make use of them with the councils. Repairing potholes, clearing paths, weeds. Positively contributing to the community’s they have been dropped in to, during the application process.
Your thoughts on how this is dealt with?
Or do you not even see a problem?
As per official government figures 92% of small boats arrivals that were processed in 2022 (the last full year of data) were successful in their asylum applications so successfully met the criteria for claiming asylum as either refugees from war, oppression or sexual violence etc.
The big issue is that the UK government have progressively made it harder and harder to claim asylum in the UK unless you come from Hong Kong, Ukraine or managed to make an application to the UK consulate in Afghanistan before we bailed out. We have removed legal routes as ultimately the government would rather not allow anyone in.
When there were more legal routes available to people, they used them but we've removed those and we've allowed a massive backlog to form in applications that leads to people living in hotels for months or even years while they await the outcome of their application.
Re: Boat people / immigration
Posted: Thu Jun 08, 2023 1:27 pm
by earl the beaver
Ymx wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 7:34 am
So, obviously, it’s the large number of boat people (bad actors) who don’t at all qualify as a refugee (point 2)
Home office stats show this not to be the case.
Re: Boat people / immigration
Posted: Thu Jun 08, 2023 2:19 pm
by Ymx
earl the beaver wrote: ↑Thu Jun 08, 2023 1:27 pm
Ymx wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 7:34 am
So, obviously, it’s the large number of boat people (bad actors) who don’t at all qualify as a refugee (point 2)
Home office stats show this not to be the case.
I think your numbers are very wrong.
Of those entering by boat, in 2022, it was more like 60%.
There is actually a large backlog now baked in to the system. Perhaps I’m wrong, but I expect those taking a longer time could well be those who threw their ids away. I’m just speculating though. So the true legitimate refugee numbers could be well South of 60%.
At least six out of ten (60%) of all those who made the dangerous Channel crossing to the UK in small boats last year will be recognised as refugees through the asylum process, new analysis from the Refugee Council shows.
The analysis, based on Home Office data, finds that 25,119 of the 45,746 men, women and children who made the journey in 2022 would be allowed to stay in the UK as refugees.
At the same time the numbers of people starting new lives in the UK under formal resettlement programmes such as family reunion have fallen dramatically – suggesting that more people seeking refugee status are taking the dangerous Channel journey.
The report reveals that most of those crossing the Channel are people fleeing war-torn or oppressive countries where no safe and formal routes such as refugee visas exist for making an asylum claim in the UK. This is in contrast to those escaping the war in Ukraine, where more than 200,000 visas have been issued under a UK refugee scheme.
The report shows that safe routes for the main nationalities crossing the channel have been drastically reduced – resettlement numbers are 75 per cent lower than in 2019 and the number of family reunion visas issued is 36 per cent below the pre-pandemic level. For example, thousands of Iranians crossed the channel but just nine were resettled to the UK between January and September 2022.
Re: Boat people / immigration
Posted: Thu Jun 08, 2023 2:34 pm
by earl the beaver
Ymx wrote: ↑Thu Jun 08, 2023 2:19 pm
earl the beaver wrote: ↑Thu Jun 08, 2023 1:27 pm
Ymx wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 7:34 am
So, obviously, it’s the large number of boat people (bad actors) who don’t at all qualify as a refugee (point 2)
Home office stats show this not to be the case.
I think your numbers are very wrong.
Of those entering by boat, in 2022, it was more like 60%.
There is actually a large backlog now baked in to the system. Perhaps I’m wrong, but I expect those taking a longer time could well be those who threw their ids away. I’m just speculating though. So the true legitimate refugee numbers could be well South of 60%.
At least six out of ten (60%) of all those who made the dangerous Channel crossing to the UK in small boats last year will be recognised as refugees through the asylum process, new analysis from the Refugee Council shows.
The analysis, based on Home Office data, finds that 25,119 of the 45,746 men, women and children who made the journey in 2022 would be allowed to stay in the UK as refugees.
At the same time the numbers of people starting new lives in the UK under formal resettlement programmes such as family reunion have fallen dramatically – suggesting that more people seeking refugee status are taking the dangerous Channel journey.
The report reveals that most of those crossing the Channel are people fleeing war-torn or oppressive countries where no safe and formal routes such as refugee visas exist for making an asylum claim in the UK. This is in contrast to those escaping the war in Ukraine, where more than 200,000 visas have been issued under a UK refugee scheme.
The report shows that safe routes for the main nationalities crossing the channel have been drastically reduced – resettlement numbers are 75 per cent lower than in 2019 and the number of family reunion visas issued is 36 per cent below the pre-pandemic level. For example, thousands of Iranians crossed the channel but just nine were resettled to the UK between January and September 2022.
The last full year of data is for the year to June 2022 (due to reporting lag and annual reporting cycles this dataset was released in Feb this year), in that year 15k asylum decisions were made concerning those arriving in small boats, 76% were successful with their initial applications, of the 24% rejected at their initial application two thirds were overturned on appeal, so in total 92% of applicants were successful. Since 2018 94% of small boats arrivals have made asylum applications.
Those are official stats.
Your speculation is off, the backlog is due to the sheer volume of applications and the underfunding and cuts to the department responsible. Regardless of someone's passport being available the application goes into a queue, it takes on average 18 months for this application to be opened by a home office immigration agent.
That quote is based on the Refugee Council's interpretation of interim data so isn't complete and won't contain the full details of applications made in the window, it reinforces the fact that safe and legal routes have been cut and the tories won't be happy until we close them all and don't take anyone.
The quote also goes against your belief that most people coming aren't in need of asylum.
Re: Dinghy people / immigration
Posted: Thu Jun 08, 2023 2:36 pm
by Guy Smiley
YMX has to be trolling. Compassion urged me to say that.
Re: Dinghy people / immigration
Posted: Thu Jun 08, 2023 3:01 pm
by JM2K6
Ymx wrote: ↑Tue Jun 06, 2023 7:57 pm
Sounds like the French are putting in more effort than I thought.
Violent clashes with asylum seekers on French beaches will result in an officer’s death, Border Force fears
Hugo Gye - 5h ago
Patrol officers risk being killed in France as encounters with asylum seekers grow more violent, Border Force insiders fear.
The proportion of people trying to cross the Channel in dangerous small boats who are intercepted by the police before they can take to the water has grown in recent months.
That is believed to be a result of the French authorities getting greater resources, including from the UK Government – as well as a crackdown on TikTok videos promoting Channel crossings.
The video app now automatically removes clips that contain certain keywords known to feature in the ads posted by people smugglers who are trying to recruit migrants for the €3,000 journey to the UK.
But the increased likelihood that an attempt to cross will be unsuccessful has apparently made some migrants – who now need to make four or five tries before they actually reach England – increasingly desperate.
A Border Force source said: “It’s only a matter of time before an officer is killed.” Some asylum seekers carry knives and other weapons to prevent officers from stopping them taking to boats and launching into the Channel.
The French authorities – who are now joined by British officers on their patrols, although the UK representatives cannot get involved directly in operations – are attempting to disrupt the organised gangs which are seen as being behind the surge in crossings over the past few years.
Undercover police now visit service stations, hotels and lay-bys sometimes as far away as the border with Belgium to pick up migrants who are waiting to cross the Channel.
Some spectacular fearmongering in that article
Re: Dinghy people / immigration
Posted: Thu Jun 08, 2023 4:35 pm
by Ymx
I lifted my numbers from here, which are based on 2022.
https://www.refugeecouncil.org.uk/lates ... sis-shows/
It would seem the home office rubbished that report, but I’ve yet to find this.
Re: Dinghy people / immigration
Posted: Thu Jun 08, 2023 4:58 pm
by Ymx
This is what I’ve dug out re total numbers, from official stats.
A slight spike from Albania.
So that’s the 45k
Re: Dinghy people / immigration
Posted: Thu Jun 08, 2023 5:11 pm
by Ymx
Here’s a useful breakdown.
I think it’s suggesting 62% so far for 2022. 61% for previous years
But it’s based on a minute number of applications processed. 340
https://www.gov.uk/government/statistic ... ember-2022
Re: Dinghy people / immigration
Posted: Thu Jun 08, 2023 5:34 pm
by Ymx
And the backlog ….
Re: Dinghy people / immigration
Posted: Thu Jun 08, 2023 6:24 pm
by C69
Ymx wrote: ↑Thu Jun 08, 2023 5:34 pm
And the backlog ….
At the risk of upsetting your right wing sensisbilities, you do realise this is wholly down the the incumbent government.
You can't spin this any other way than a failure of policy.
A VERY FECKING EXPENSIVE FAILURE OF POLICY.