Given how much Poland and Finland have rearmed, even if Russia did follow doctrine I suspect they'd have a torrid time of it.Paddington Bear wrote: ↑Thu Jan 25, 2024 2:19 pm NATO obviously spanks Russia in a long war. In a short war? I’m not convinced European armies have the ammunition and equipment to hold their ground. And we don’t know what China might do that may distract the Americans. Our current defence posture seems like a massive gamble
Citizens Army, Whose up for it
Don’t forget biscuits AB and cheese possessedDogbert wrote: ↑Wed Jan 24, 2024 7:56 pm Sine we are in the hiatus of no rugby till the 6N
Now that the Tories ( the party that prides itself on Defence, although I suspect Labour would be no better ) have gutted the Army
General Sir Patrick Sanders - the outgoing Chief of the General Staff (CGS) has suggested that Britain should train a "citizen army" ready to fight a war on to stave off the Russian Hordes
I'm in on 2 provisos
1. I get my SLR back - none of your SA80 nonsense
2. Limitless supplies of Menu A ration packs - Bacon Grill / Oatmeal Blocks / Chicken Curry , and Spangles and a brew from a Hexi cooker
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-68086188
Who else is in, and what are your demands
I genuinely believe if Trump tries to take US out of NATO there could be some form of coup.inactionman wrote: ↑Thu Jan 25, 2024 12:04 pmHow trump mucks up NATO is a whole topic all of itself.Dogbert wrote: ↑Thu Jan 25, 2024 11:53 amImagine if Russia destabilised one of the Baltic states,, Estonia for example, and then mounted an invasion similar to Crimea.inactionman wrote: ↑Thu Jan 25, 2024 11:31 am
It's all a rhetorical question, ultimately.
I just can't see a land war in NATO that doesn't see Russia thoroughly spanked conventionally, despite all the doom-mongering. Therefore, I can't really see a land war with NATO. Putin fails utterly in any situation if he resorts to nukes in any meaningful capacity. Therefore I can't really see how it goes nuclear, as I refuse to believe any NATO power will fire nukes first.
Even he'd feel the consequences of nuclear war - at fucking last, you might add - as it wouldn't just be a case of sending a bunch of serfs to die in a foreign land to enrich him and his cronies, this is Moscow being razed.
I expect the usual sad set of proxy wars (Syria, Vietnam etc). I'd wonder about localised use of nukes, just short of invoking doomsday responses, in these proxy wars. Even that is pretty far-fetched, but Putin has effectively used radioactive and biochemical weapons in the UK already.
Imagine too , that this happens during Trumps second term.
Now Estonia is a member of NATO
Article 5 provides that if a NATO Ally is the victim of an armed attack, each and every other member of the Alliance will consider this act of violence as an armed attack against all members and will take the actions it deems necessary to assist the Ally attacked.
Do you trust Trump to carry through on the obligation, and if not where does that leave the rest of the NATO members
( For that matter if Trump does get re-elected, and cuts of the military aid to Ukraine - what future for Ukraine )
You would hope that NATO would recognise that biting off pieces of NATO piecemeal is just a tactic.
- Uncle fester
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If and when Russia finally extricate themselves from the Ukraine mess, they will go back to what they do best, going at tinpot states and brutalizing civilians.
Unless Europe falls into some sort of anarchy, a direct move against a NATO member is fanciful.
Unless Europe falls into some sort of anarchy, a direct move against a NATO member is fanciful.
He doesn't even need to formally take the US out of EuropeOpenside wrote: ↑Thu Jan 25, 2024 7:34 pmI genuinely believe if Trump tries to take US out of NATO there could be some form of coup.inactionman wrote: ↑Thu Jan 25, 2024 12:04 pmHow trump mucks up NATO is a whole topic all of itself.Dogbert wrote: ↑Thu Jan 25, 2024 11:53 am
Imagine if Russia destabilised one of the Baltic states,, Estonia for example, and then mounted an invasion similar to Crimea.
Imagine too , that this happens during Trumps second term.
Now Estonia is a member of NATO
Article 5 provides that if a NATO Ally is the victim of an armed attack, each and every other member of the Alliance will consider this act of violence as an armed attack against all members and will take the actions it deems necessary to assist the Ally attacked.
Do you trust Trump to carry through on the obligation, and if not where does that leave the rest of the NATO members
( For that matter if Trump does get re-elected, and cuts of the military aid to Ukraine - what future for Ukraine )
You would hope that NATO would recognise that biting off pieces of NATO piecemeal is just a tactic.
To take the example of Estonia as far as Trump is concerned that would be “A quarrel in a faraway country, between people of whom we know nothing” - I seriously suspect that he would not follow through on Article 5 - why risk American boys in a European conflict.
If you take away the US block in NATO , along with the US defence Industrial Base , what does that leave you with.
If there was ever a coup to remove Trump in office ( no matter under what premise ) I believe that you would be looking at serious civil disorder on a magnitude that would not have seen internally in the US since the Civil war
Lager & Lime - we don't do cocktails
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That's brewing nicely anyway. There's been an ongoing thing in Texas between local and federal agencies around putting up razorwire at the border and standing by to watch migrants drown, it went to the Supreme Court who've decided against Texas/the cruelty option and the governor has openly stated his intent to ignore the ruling as it interferes with State rights.Dogbert wrote: ↑Thu Jan 25, 2024 8:54 pmHe doesn't even need to formally take the US out of EuropeOpenside wrote: ↑Thu Jan 25, 2024 7:34 pmI genuinely believe if Trump tries to take US out of NATO there could be some form of coup.inactionman wrote: ↑Thu Jan 25, 2024 12:04 pm
How trump mucks up NATO is a whole topic all of itself.
You would hope that NATO would recognise that biting off pieces of NATO piecemeal is just a tactic.
To take the example of Estonia as far as Trump is concerned that would be “A quarrel in a faraway country, between people of whom we know nothing” - I seriously suspect that he would not follow through on Article 5 - why risk American boys in a European conflict.
If you take away the US block in NATO , along with the US defence Industrial Base , what does that leave you with.
If there was ever a coup to remove Trump in office ( no matter under what premise ) I believe that you would be looking at serious civil disorder on a magnitude that would not have seen internally in the US since the Civil war
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- Location: South Africa
I'm not exactly a fan of war to be honest, and never learned how to use weapons. I'll therefore be useless in any army, unless they want to use me as a human shield (that is not an offer to be one).
Simply put me in some huge underground shelter with enough supplies to last me the duration of the war.
I volunteer to look after everybody's pets. No cats allowed.
My wife unknowingly volunteers to be the human shield. So there's the European army all safe.
PS. Ignore the no cats part. There will certainly be enough Python and Boa species which needs to be fed.
Simply put me in some huge underground shelter with enough supplies to last me the duration of the war.
I volunteer to look after everybody's pets. No cats allowed.
My wife unknowingly volunteers to be the human shield. So there's the European army all safe.
PS. Ignore the no cats part. There will certainly be enough Python and Boa species which needs to be fed.
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- Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 7:37 am
I think we do need to stick you and your 'entourage' in an underground bunker.troglodiet wrote: ↑Fri Jan 26, 2024 6:47 pm I'm not exactly a fan of war to be honest, and never learned how to use weapons. I'll therefore be useless in any army, unless they want to use me as a human shield (that is not an offer to be one).
Simply put me in some huge underground shelter with enough supplies to last me the duration of the war.
I volunteer to look after everybody's pets. No cats allowed.
My wife unknowingly volunteers to be the human shield. So there's the European army all safe.
PS. Ignore the no cats part. There will certainly be enough Python and Boa species which needs to be fed.
- fishfoodie
- Posts: 7395
- Joined: Mon Jun 29, 2020 8:25 pm
Every community has a few Golgafrinchansinactionman wrote: ↑Fri Jan 26, 2024 6:50 pmI think we do need to stick you and your 'entourage' in an underground bunker.troglodiet wrote: ↑Fri Jan 26, 2024 6:47 pm I'm not exactly a fan of war to be honest, and never learned how to use weapons. I'll therefore be useless in any army, unless they want to use me as a human shield (that is not an offer to be one).
Simply put me in some huge underground shelter with enough supplies to last me the duration of the war.
I volunteer to look after everybody's pets. No cats allowed.
My wife unknowingly volunteers to be the human shield. So there's the European army all safe.
PS. Ignore the no cats part. There will certainly be enough Python and Boa species which needs to be fed.
- Insane_Homer
- Posts: 5060
- Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 3:14 pm
- Location: Leafy Surrey
I'll happily sign up the day after Boris, and he passes the fitness test
“Facts are meaningless. You could use facts to prove anything that's even remotely true.”
- mat the expat
- Posts: 1368
- Joined: Mon Jun 29, 2020 11:12 pm
A return to full-sized Rolos!Dogbert wrote: ↑Wed Jan 24, 2024 7:56 pm Sine we are in the hiatus of no rugby till the 6N
Now that the Tories ( the party that prides itself on Defence, although I suspect Labour would be no better ) have gutted the Army
General Sir Patrick Sanders - the outgoing Chief of the General Staff (CGS) has suggested that Britain should train a "citizen army" ready to fight a war on to stave off the Russian Hordes
I'm in on 2 provisos
1. I get my SLR back - none of your SA80 nonsense
2. Limitless supplies of Menu A ration packs - Bacon Grill / Oatmeal Blocks / Chicken Curry , and Spangles and a brew from a Hexi cooker
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-68086188
Who else is in, and what are your demands