





Not just gusts but sustained windsMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...170 KM/H
We've got a big depot right in the predicted path of the storm surge in Louisiana - I'm just about to jump on a call with some of them so hoping to hear everyone's OKBnM wrote: Wed Aug 26, 2020 11:05 pm![]()
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America is just not having a good time of it. Storm Laura due to hit v soon.
Severe Weather Outlook for Medicane Ianos – Sept 17-19th, 2020By Marko Korosec
SUMMARY
A Mediterranean tropical-like cyclone – Medicane Ianos has developed over the Ionian Sea and is moving towards western Greece. A severe impact is increasingly likely. Ianos will bring destructive winds, torrential rainfall, tornadoes, and flooding across parts of Greece.
FORECAST DISCUSSION
HIGH risk has been issued for west-central Greece into the eastern part of the Ionian Sea with a threat for severe storms, capable of producing severe damaging winds, tornadoes, and torrential rainfall with flash floods. The SIG and HIGH risk area highlight the highest and the most significant threat for potentially destructive flooding associated with the track of the Medicane Ianos.
In addition to the flooding threat, severe destructive hurricane-force winds will be associated along with the trailing cyclone’s inner core storms. Weather models are hinting peak gusts could exceed 200 km/h in some places. The wind/flooding threat is particularly extreme over the Ionian Islands (Lefkas, Kefalonia, and Zakynthos) where the center of the medicane is likely to track on Friday morning.
Maintaining intense convective storms and orographic rainfall could bring the total rainfall accumulation exceeding 300-500 mm in a 48 hour period. Potentially even higher locally as some high-resolution models e.g. ICON-EU are simulating. The highest amounts of rainfall are expected across the Peloponnese, Attica, and partly also across central Greece from Thursday afternoon through Friday into Saturday.
Ianos is likely to track north-northeast on Thursday, turning sharp east on Thursday night, and head for the landfall in western Greece on Friday morning hours. Then, models are quite uncertain how the intensity and track continues towards Friday. The majority of the models are, however, tracking the low towards south-southeast after landfall and gradually decaying.
There is also an enhanced potential for tornadoes (waterspouts) along the Peloponnese and the southeastern Ionian Sea where strongly enhanced shear and helicity overlap with the low-level instability. Storm surge could also become an issue along the west-southwest Greece, to the immediate south of the medicane’s track.
MDT/ENH/SLGT risks have been issued for areas surrounding the HIGH risk where the less robust threat is expected and it critically depends on the Medicane’s center track. The overall severe winds and flooding threat will be gradually spreading east on Thursday as medicane will be moving towards Greece while intensifying.
The exact position of the center strongly depends on the convective activity and it may shift to the north or south of the most-likely track. Conditions are closely monitored and an outlook update might be needed on Thursday afternoon.
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Medicanes are Tropical-like cyclones in the Mediterranean and they are sometimes also called Mediterranean cyclones or Mediterranean hurricanes. These are cyclones with subtropical and tropical characteristics, that form in the Mediterranean region.
Medicanes can produce damaging severe winds and torrential/excessive rainfall with flash floods. Similar to tropical cyclones, medicanes are warm core systems, they often closely resemble tropical cyclones in satellite images. Well-developed medicanes have tropical characteristics, with clear circular eyes, surrounded by an eyewall and (axisymmetric) cloud pattern.
Wouldn't be so bad if, after all the work you got to play - we've had loads of games called off. Can't remember the last week when all 5 of our Saturday teams actually played.Paddington Bear wrote: Mon Jul 12, 2021 5:57 pm Amazing growing weather. Grass at the cricket club is needing to be cut three times a week, cut today and could hide a Viet Cong brigade by the weekend if we didn’t keep doing it.
We're fortunate that we have a group of 5/6 of us who are willing to spend Friday night plastering covers all over the square so we haven't actually had to cancel a home game yet. Water table is astonishingly high for the time of year.Ovals wrote: Mon Jul 12, 2021 11:25 pmWouldn't be so bad if, after all the work you got to play - we've had loads of games called off. Can't remember the last week when all 5 of our Saturday teams actually played.Paddington Bear wrote: Mon Jul 12, 2021 5:57 pm Amazing growing weather. Grass at the cricket club is needing to be cut three times a week, cut today and could hide a Viet Cong brigade by the weekend if we didn’t keep doing it.
That was forecast for my location previously, but all we had was some light rain /drizzle in the end - was a bit surprised to see that torrential rain missed us by about 20 miles in the end.notfatcat wrote: Mon Jul 12, 2021 5:38 pm Just seen the worst road conditions I think I've ever seen. On the bus from Boston Manor station was like driving through a river. I was waiting 20 minutes for the bus to turn up, sheltering outside the station, and it was 20 minutes of insanely heavy rain. For some reason the heavy rain meant they closed Barons Court tube station.
The Westbourne, runs through Hyde Park apparently. The bridge in Knightsbridge crossed it.notfatcat wrote: Tue Jul 13, 2021 10:34 am Yeah, I think so, although I think it's more of a brook or stream than a river. I think the vids are showing only the effects of rain water.
This gentleman speaks for me.sockwithaticket wrote: Mon Jul 19, 2021 12:18 pm Fuck this weather. If we could take about 10 degrees off it, I'd be much happier.
Not only that but there was also a cool breeze and damn all sunshine...sockwithaticket wrote: Mon Jul 19, 2021 2:24 pm It's almost like different places have different temperature norms and what you're acclimated to is relative.
It's also the suddenness of shifts. Yesterday it was 30 degrees where I am, the week prior it was 18. The whole first couple of weeks of July bounced around 17 - 22 for daily highs.
Cool breeze be buggered!! It was a feckin' cold Northerly wind in Hertfordshiretabascoboy wrote: Mon Jul 19, 2021 2:57 pmNot only that but there was also a cool breeze and damn all sunshine...sockwithaticket wrote: Mon Jul 19, 2021 2:24 pm It's almost like different places have different temperature norms and what you're acclimated to is relative.
It's also the suddenness of shifts. Yesterday it was 30 degrees where I am, the week prior it was 18. The whole first couple of weeks of July bounced around 17 - 22 for daily highs.
We had a far bit of sun during the cooler temps tbf, but yeah the breeze was lovely. What breeze there is now is just pushing hot air through the windows. It's also not cooling down significantly. The last couple of nights it's been into the 20s by like 10pm. It may be down to late teens by then tonight according to the Beeb.tabascoboy wrote: Mon Jul 19, 2021 2:57 pmNot only that but there was also a cool breeze and damn all sunshine...sockwithaticket wrote: Mon Jul 19, 2021 2:24 pm It's almost like different places have different temperature norms and what you're acclimated to is relative.
It's also the suddenness of shifts. Yesterday it was 30 degrees where I am, the week prior it was 18. The whole first couple of weeks of July bounced around 17 - 22 for daily highs.
It's also that our houses are built for long dark winters as well. My flat is cozy in the winter and has nice big windows, both of which combine to make it a furnace right now.sockwithaticket wrote: Mon Jul 19, 2021 2:24 pm It's almost like different places have different temperature norms and what you're acclimated to is relative.
It's also the suddenness of shifts. Yesterday it was 30 degrees where I am, the week prior it was 18. The whole first couple of weeks of July bounced around 17 - 22 for daily highs.
It was kicking on 33 in Waverley today. According to apple, that is.sockwithaticket wrote: Mon Jul 19, 2021 2:24 pm It's almost like different places have different temperature norms and what you're acclimated to is relative.
It's also the suddenness of shifts. Yesterday it was 30 degrees where I am, the week prior it was 18. The whole first couple of weeks of July bounced around 17 - 22 for daily highs.
The warning is based on health implications, people suffering from heart conditions and the like which are acute issues in heat. It is provided so that those people in that category are made aware, not as some kind of measure of disruption to transport or discomfort for people on the Tube.Glaston wrote: Tue Jul 20, 2021 6:47 am "Extreme Heat" its barely even 30c![]()
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Met Office has gone all millennial snowflake.
The Tarmac isn't even melting, now that's when it gets a bit warm.
Heathrow July 2019 hit 37c
Heathrow July 2020 hit 38c
Heathrow July 2021 31c so far
What rating are they going to come up with when it does actually get hot.
Weird in our Airbnb in Twickenham. Stayed in in the evening and even though the sun was setting it seemed to get hotter and hotter as night fell.Paddington Bear wrote: Tue Jul 20, 2021 7:50 am I think they factor in humidity as well. SE England gets remarkably humid (or at least feels it)
There was a bit of a breeze here yesterday morning and early afternoon. Then some massive downpours nearby and the temp dropped but the humidity rose and the wind dropped for the rest of the day. Also very still this morning and unpleasantly humid even this early in the day. No air moving through the house even with windows and doors open everywhere.GogLais wrote: Tue Jul 20, 2021 8:36 amWeird in our Airbnb in Twickenham. Stayed in in the evening and even though the sun was setting it seemed to get hotter and hotter as night fell.Paddington Bear wrote: Tue Jul 20, 2021 7:50 am I think they factor in humidity as well. SE England gets remarkably humid (or at least feels it)