RWCR4 Scotland vs Ireland on 7Oct @ 21h00
- OomStruisbaai
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Saturday, October 7th. Kick off 9pm local (8pm Ire/UK time)
Stade de France
Your officials
Referee: Nic Berry
Assistant referees: Wayne Barnes, Jordan Way
TMO: Brett Cronan
Stade de France
Your officials
Referee: Nic Berry
Assistant referees: Wayne Barnes, Jordan Way
TMO: Brett Cronan
Last edited by OomStruisbaai on Mon Oct 02, 2023 3:19 pm, edited 2 times in total.
- OomStruisbaai
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The last role of the dice for our URC boetas. Cant ask for a bigger one like this. I will support Scotland. Will be fantastic if they can win this one.
- Insane_Homer
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SA on 15 points, Ireland 14 and Scot 10.
Quite a few permutations.
Simply, Scotland can't lose or draw and even a narrow win as they need the BPs.
Win with 4 try BP (15) and then it gets interesting with all sorts of permutations depending on whether Ireland manage 1 or 2 losing BPs.
Ireland lose without a BP and they're out (14), Scot BP win (15)
Ireland get 2 losing BPs (4 tries and lose by less than 7) (16) - Scotland out on points difference (15)
Ireland get 1 BP for 4 tries but lose by more than 21 (15), Scotland (15), SA (15) - South Africa out on points difference
Have I got that right?
Quite a few permutations.
Simply, Scotland can't lose or draw and even a narrow win as they need the BPs.
Win with 4 try BP (15) and then it gets interesting with all sorts of permutations depending on whether Ireland manage 1 or 2 losing BPs.
Ireland lose without a BP and they're out (14), Scot BP win (15)
Ireland get 2 losing BPs (4 tries and lose by less than 7) (16) - Scotland out on points difference (15)
Ireland get 1 BP for 4 tries but lose by more than 21 (15), Scotland (15), SA (15) - South Africa out on points difference
Have I got that right?
“Facts are meaningless. You could use facts to prove anything that's even remotely true.”
- Insane_Homer
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- clydecloggie
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"easiest" does a lot of heavy lifting in that sentence.
- OomStruisbaai
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Will be great to get the All Blacks.
To be honest, I think this is going to end up being a straightforward win for Ireland by 15 points or so, without our really firing a shot. Fairly similar to the game with SA, in fact.
However, I could also see us winning a game v Ireland, for the first time in years, and it counting for nothing. I was thinking that it would be really hard to take, but if it happens I think I’ll just take the win and accept we were fucked from the time the draw was made.
However, I could also see us winning a game v Ireland, for the first time in years, and it counting for nothing. I was thinking that it would be really hard to take, but if it happens I think I’ll just take the win and accept we were fucked from the time the draw was made.
It is in truth not for glory, nor riches, nor honours that we are fighting, but for freedom - for that alone, which no honest man gives up but with life itself.
- fishfoodie
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- Paddington Bear
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Take this with a pinch of salt if you like, but was talking to a mate, whose family friend is on the RFU board and well wired in to the World Rugby suits, played golf with one of them out in France earlier today apparently. the word is that WR are really concerned about the arcane nature of the tiebreakers given how much is at stake in this pool. Rumour is that to simplify it, in the event of a tie it will be decided based on the relative performance of the nations in the second world war. As I say, just a rumour but has to really pile the pressure onto the Irish.
Old men forget: yet all shall be forgot, But he'll remember with advantages, What feats he did that day
- fishfoodie
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I thought we'd agreed on an eating contest between the respective front rows; where they first drink twelve pints of Guinness, & then the front row that consumed the most escargot were the winners ?Paddington Bear wrote: ↑Mon Oct 02, 2023 8:53 pm Take this with a pinch of salt if you like, but was talking to a mate, whose family friend is on the RFU board and well wired in to the World Rugby suits, played golf with one of them out in France earlier today apparently. the word is that WR are really concerned about the arcane nature of the tiebreakers given how much is at stake in this pool. Rumour is that to simplify it, in the event of a tie it will be decided based on the relative performance of the nations in the second world war. As I say, just a rumour but has to really pile the pressure onto the Irish.
In the event of draw there, we'd obviously go to the farting contest.
Advantage Boksfishfoodie wrote: ↑Mon Oct 02, 2023 9:05 pm
In the event of draw there, we'd obviously go to the farting contest.
- fishfoodie
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I doubt it.
It's two sides that are totally familiar with each other, & the Scots know what they need to do, & will be looking at their opposite numbers, & weighing up all the times they've met, & the Irish won't be taking anything for granted for all the same reasons.
I'm thinking a spread of 5-10 points, with us the favorites, just because we've the ranking because of a consistent set of results.
I'm really hoping that a brain fart in the first 10 for either side doesn't ruin the contest, because we've both got players that can get just too amped up, & will go into a tackle & end up getting carded.
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Mockers nonsense. You've had the Scots 8 in a row, you've got to go back to 2017 to find the last time they beat you and you had 4 in a row on them before that.fishfoodie wrote: ↑Mon Oct 02, 2023 10:23 pmI doubt it.
It's two sides that are totally familiar with each other, & the Scots know what they need to do, & will be looking at their opposite numbers, & weighing up all the times they've met, & the Irish won't be taking anything for granted for all the same reasons.
I'm thinking a spread of 5-10 points, with us the favorites, just because we've the ranking because of a consistent set of results.
I'm really hoping that a brain fart in the first 10 for either side doesn't ruin the contest, because we've both got players that can get just too amped up, & will go into a tackle & end up getting carded.
- Uncle fester
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No Hogg to drop the ball over the line this time.
If Scotland beat Ireland at the weekend, even by a point, it will be a RWC upset akin to Japan beating South Africa, there are over ten ranking points between us and Ireland, at the time there was 12 between the Brave Blossoms and Springboks.
There is always the chance of an upset in rugby, but I have the feeling that it is far more rare in our sport than in others due to the nature of the game and Ireland will not be caught unawares on Sunday.
If Scotland can get enough space for our backline to fire we can scare anyone, if we can defend and keep super clean at the breakdown, not giving away penalties, we can win.
Can Scotland assert the kind of dominance up front that is needed to fulfil those two “ifs”?
Well it would be a joy to see, but I’m not holding my breath
There is always the chance of an upset in rugby, but I have the feeling that it is far more rare in our sport than in others due to the nature of the game and Ireland will not be caught unawares on Sunday.
If Scotland can get enough space for our backline to fire we can scare anyone, if we can defend and keep super clean at the breakdown, not giving away penalties, we can win.
Can Scotland assert the kind of dominance up front that is needed to fulfil those two “ifs”?
Well it would be a joy to see, but I’m not holding my breath
Going to be tight for the first 60 min, Ireland just ahead after a few contentious decisions both ways. Bit of magic from Finn to put Darcy in for a worldy, Sexton will start gurning about something, spit flying everywhere and the Irish implode. Jocks by 16.
Last edited by Jock42 on Tue Oct 03, 2023 8:04 am, edited 1 time in total.
Love it.Jock42 wrote: ↑Tue Oct 03, 2023 7:59 am Going to be tight for the first 60 min, Ireland just ahead after a Tew contentious decisions both ways. Bit of magic from Finn to put Darcy in for a worldy, Sexton will start gurning about something, spit flying everywhere and the Ireland implode. Jocks by 16.
Yup, unlike previous iterations, this lot just don't implode and don't panic.
All the money you made will never buy back your soul
May the best team win.....I have a headache thinking about permutations. Just want a good game...far too few of those around this RWC.....
and hoping Ireland and Scotland get into a huddle after the game and praise the Lord , like SA and the Tongans.
We need to spread some of that love around.
and hoping Ireland and Scotland get into a huddle after the game and praise the Lord , like SA and the Tongans.
We need to spread some of that love around.
- clydecloggie
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I know there's a few sky fairy worshippers in the Scotland team and Ireland has a share of Nordies so they might be game as well, but I hope they don't, personally.Sards wrote: ↑Tue Oct 03, 2023 9:16 am May the best team win.....I have a headache thinking about permutations. Just want a good game...far too few of those around this RWC.....
and hoping Ireland and Scotland get into a huddle after the game and praise the Lord , like SA and the Tongans.
We need to spread some of that love around.
Sards wrote: ↑Tue Oct 03, 2023 9:16 am May the best team win.....I have a headache thinking about permutations. Just want a good game...far too few of those around this RWC.....
and hoping Ireland and Scotland get into a huddle after the game and praise the Lord , like SA and the Tongans.
We need to spread some of that love around.
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Irish player to do something braindead and get red carded in the 8th minute.
Scotland to labour to 10 point lead before Zander Fagerson gets straight red for shoulder to head in ruck when the ball is already clear, circa half time.
Ireland to come back and lead in the 70th minute, Graham to score 2 tries and Scotland to win denying Ireland any BP.
Scotland to labour to 10 point lead before Zander Fagerson gets straight red for shoulder to head in ruck when the ball is already clear, circa half time.
Ireland to come back and lead in the 70th minute, Graham to score 2 tries and Scotland to win denying Ireland any BP.
He'll go top of the try scoring table in the final.TheNatalShark wrote: ↑Tue Oct 03, 2023 1:58 pm
Graham to score 2 tries and Scotland to win denying Ireland any BP.
- Uncle fester
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Is it the hair? It's the hair.Uncle fester wrote: ↑Tue Oct 03, 2023 2:26 pmWhat's wrong with him? He's pretty sound as players go.
His screeching has surpassed what even peak-Itoje was capable of.Uncle fester wrote: ↑Tue Oct 03, 2023 2:26 pmWhat's wrong with him? He's pretty sound as players go.
Trolling Slick. Nice.
- OomStruisbaai
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Men with ponytails. Stupid. Hope Duhan vd Merwe give him a hard time.Punter15 wrote: ↑Tue Oct 03, 2023 3:08 pmIs it the hair? It's the hair.Uncle fester wrote: ↑Tue Oct 03, 2023 2:26 pmWhat's wrong with him? He's pretty sound as players go.